Michael Moore's 'October Surprise': A New Pro-Hillary Clinton Film

Just when it seemed like there have been enough "October surprises" this campaign season, liberal documentary filmmaker and rabble-rouser Michael Moore has emerged with a contribution of his own, a new 2016 campaign-themed documentary that debuted Tuesday in New York City.

The director revealed the secret project in a series of tweets on Tuesday, which culminated in a free screening of "Michael Moore in TrumpLand."


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Mark Murray

A Republican is Winning in Bernie's Vermont

Poll after poll over the last several weeks has contained good news for Democrats. But not this one - in deep-blue Vermont.

A poll from local news station WCAX shows Republican Lt. Gov. Phil Scott leading Democrat Sue Minter in Vermont's gubernatorial race by seven points among likely voters, 47%-40%.

Incumbent Gov. Peter Shumlin (D) is retiring.

Is there a Bernie Sanders Effect going on? The pollster who conducted the survey think so, saying Hillary Clinton "may have burned some Vermont voters in her race against Bernie Sanders, dampening Clinton's support, with a trickle down effect for Minter," per WCAX.

Notably, Sanders didn't endorse Minter until this month.

New Dem anti-Trump Ad Features Mushroom Cloud

A new super PAC started by former senator Bill Bradley is behind an intense new anti-Donald Trump ad that mysteriously started appearing on Ohio local television this week, the group announced Tuesday.

Taking a page from President Lyndon Johnson's 1964 campaign against Republican Barry Goldwater, the ad features images of a mushroom cloud and nuclear test footage, intermixed with Trump telling MSNBC host Chris Matthews that he doesn't understand why the U.S. builds nuclear weapons if it's not willing to use them.

"One nuclear bomb can kill a million people," says the narrator of the new ad, which is running in the Columbus, Toledo, and Cincinnati media markets, supported by a $750,000 buy. "That's more than all the men, women, and children living in Columbus, Ohio."

Bradley, a former NBA player and New Jersey senator who ran unsuccessfully for president in 2000, called his new group the 52nd Street Fund. The name is a reference to a WH Auden poem Johnson referenced in his famous "Daisy" ad, which also featured a mushroom cloud.

"During these final days of the campaign, it's important to focus on the real stakes for America. Donald Trump's finger on the nuclear button is a horrifying prospect. His temperament and absence of experience makes him a danger to all Americans," Bradley said in a statement.

Rudy Giuliani Says Voters Should Expect 'a Couple of Surprises'

Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani told "Fox & Friends" Tuesday that voters should be ready for "a couple of surprises" heading their way from the Donald Trump campaign.

Without offering specifics, Giuliani said the surprises "would turn Trump's campaign in a little bit of a different way" and "get their message out there."

"I think it will be enormously effective, and I do think that all of these revelations against Hillary Clinton finally are beginning to have an impact," he said.

Mark Murray

Cook Political Report: Democrats Poised to Win Senate

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report, one of the country's most respected political forecasters, believes Democrats are poised to gain between five and seven Senate seats, more than enough to win control of the chamber in November.

"Since the release of the Access Hollywood tape, Senate Republicans have seen their fortunes dip, particularly in states like Florida, North Carolina, New Hampshire, Nevada and Pennsylvania where Clinton has established a lead. In fact, of the Senate seats in the Toss Up column, Trump only leads in Indiana and Missouri where both Republicans are running a few points behind him," the Cook Political Report says.

It adds, "Early voting is underway in 27 states, so Republicans don't really have much time to turn things around, and Trump won't be any help, especially his campaign doesn't really have a ground game to speak of."

To win control of the Senate, Democrats must gain a net of four seats if Clinton wins the presidency (because the vice president would break a 50-50 tie). If Trump wins, Democrats would need to pick up five seats to win back the chamber.

Trump in 2008: Clinton 'Is a Great Woman"

Donald Trump has maintained throughout the campaign that his past support for Democrats was due to his business interests and has argued that as a former player in the politics game, he's in the best position to change the rules. Recently though, NY1 re-upped an interview from 2008 in which the now-GOP nominee has glowing praise for his Democratic opponent.

"I think she's going to go down, at a minimum, as a great senator," Trump said. He called Bill Clinton a "great president," adding, "Hillary Clinton is a great woman." You can find the full interview below:

Tim Kaine Slams Marco Rubio in Miami

MIAMI — Democratic Vice Presidential nominee Tim Kaine knocked Florida Senator Marco Rubio on his home turf Monday for continuing to support Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump.

"Let me just quote Marco Rubio," Kaine said to the crowd at Florida International University, right in Rubio's hometown. "He called Donald Trump 'dangerous' and he called Donald Trump a 'con artist' but he's supporting Donald Trump... I don't get it, how you could call somebody a dangerous con artist and support them? Because we've seen Republicans around the country who have been willing to stand up and say, 'I don't tolerate what Donald Trump is doing.'"

Kaine repeated his criticism hours later at an event in the shadow of Trump Plaza in West Palm Beach.

Monday's comments mark an extremely rare instance in which Kaine has specifically said anything negative about Republican candidates for U.S. Senate at one of his rallies. The Virginia senator has been praised for being respected by politicians on both sides of the aisle, and if Kaine and Clinton are elected, he will serve as president of the Senate in his role as vice president.

With the end of the race in sight, Kaine's remarks are part of a larger Clinton campaign strategy, a campaign aide said, to add an extra focus to down-ballot races, to help shore up votes for a Congress more likely to support their agenda and to call out Republicans who have not ruled out voting for Trump.

"It's not enough just to have a president," he said. "You have to have a Congress who's willing to work with the president and the better that Hillary Clinton does here in Florida, and elsewhere, the more likely she's gonna have a Congress to work with her to get things done. You can't take anything for granted."

Elizabeth Warren: 'Nasty Women Have Really Had It With Guys Like You'

Sen. Elizabeth Warren continued her strong campaign push for Hillary Clinton on Monday, leveling a stern warning to Republican nominee Donald Trump that his offensive remarks about women will come back to bite him.

At a joint rally with Clinton in Manchester, New Hampshire, the Massachusetts senator hit Trump for calling his Democratic rival a "nasty woman" during the third and final presidential debate last week.

"I've got news for you, Donald Trump, women have had it with guys like you. And nasty women have really had it with guys like you," said Warren.

"Get this, Donald," she added: "Nasty women are tough, nasty women are smart, and nasty women vote. And on November 8, we nasty women are gonna march our nasty feet to cast our nasty votes to get you out of our lives forever!"

Warren also urged voters to reject Republican-backed economic policies that only help "the rich and powerful." Once again, she used Trump's own words against him.

"Donald talks a big game about how the game is rigged," said Warren. "Donald Trump is right: The game is rigged. It's rigged for guys like Donald Trump. And I say it's time to fight back."

Obama to Endorse 150 State Legislative Candidates

President Obama is out on the trail in full force, not just pushing support for the Democratic front-runner for President, he's endorsing candidates on the down-ballot races, a unique step for the outgoing commander in chief.

A Democratic source confirms to NBC News that this cycle, President Obama will weigh in on about 150 state legislative races, an effort to use his rising popularity throughout the country to help flip Republican-controlled state legislatures in swing districts across the country.

Obama has already recorded television advertisements for five Senate Democratic candidates: Patrick Murphy of Florida, Kamala Harris of California, Tammy Duckworth of Illinois, Deborah Ross of North Carolina and Katie McGinty of Pennsylvania. He is also featured in ads for Oregon Gov. Kate Brown and House contenders Bryan Caforio in California, Charlie Crist in Florida, Brad Schneider in Illinois, Terri Bonoff in Minnesota and Colleen Deacon in New York.

He's done radio ads as well, so far, for four Senate candidates: Ross, McGinty, Maggie Hassan of New Hampshire and Catherine Cortez Masto in Nevada. And also gubernatorial candidates: Sue Minter of Vermont and Roy Cooper of North Carolina. House Democratic contenders Tom O'Halleran of Arizona, Rep. Cheri Bustos of Illinois, Jacky Rosen of Nevada, Rep. John Yarmuth of Kentucky and Ruben Kihuen of Nevada also got radio ads.

Voters can also expect to receive mailers and hear other statements from the president in the final push of this election cycle.

Trump Campaign Manager: 'I Wish There Were More Debates'

Trump campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said Sunday that she wished her candidate had more opportunities to debate and would "be willing to do another one if somehow they can squeeze it in."

"We had some positive movements in some of the swing states and I think some of the polls will tighten ... because the debates are a very unique opportunity for all of America to see these candidates side by side, and I wish there were more debates frankly," Conway said on a New York City radio show.

Conway argued that debate forums were conducive to democracy.

"I think Donald Trump would challenge Hillary Clinton to another debate for a very simple reason," she said. "Unless you are a money donor, you are not going to have much access to Hillary Clinton out on the stump now. So, to give people a free opportunity to see them side by side and have them really mix it up on the issues to me is the purest form of democracy."

Trump Tweet Slams Clinton On Syrian Refugees

Donald Trump bashed Hillary Clinton on Monday over her policy on refugees.

The GOP presidential nominee tweeted that "Crooked Hillary wants to take in as many Syrians as possible," referencing a tape from the WikiLeaks hack. He added: "We cannot let this happen - ISIS!"

Trump and his running-mate, Mike Pence, have previously criticized Clinton for wanting a 550 percent increase in Syrian refugees admitted to the United States. While the percentage that Trump and Pence cited is correct, according to Politifact, they overstated how many refugees the 550 percent increase would reflect. Politifact estimated that Clinton's plan would admit 65,000 screened refugees, fewer than Trump's past claim of "hundreds of thousands."

The United Nations Refugee Agency has estimated that 478,000 Syrians are considered to be in need of resettlement.