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updated 10/2/2006 6:19:29 AM ET 2006-10-02T10:19:29

MSNBC - McClatchy Missouri Poll

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 24 through September 27, 2006. A total of 625 registered Missouri voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 election for Missouri’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

MCCASKILL 43%

TALENT 43%

OTHER 1%

UNDECIDED 13%

Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 70%

AGAINST OPPONENT 18%

NOT SURE 12%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 24%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 22% (46%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 11%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 41% (52%)

NOT SURE 2%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 1%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 27% (28%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 28%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 34% (62%)

NOT SURE 10%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

HEALTH CARE 21%

IRAQ 17%

ECONOMY/JOBS 14%

MORAL/FAMILY 13%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 11%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 9%

IMMIGRATION 7%

OTHER/DK 6%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 2%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 31%

WRONG TRACK 57%

NOT SURE 12%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 22%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 23% (45%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 42% (54%)

NOT SURE 1%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq:

SEND MORE 27%

KEEP SAME 18%

WITHDRAW SOME 19%

WITHDRAW ALL 22%

NOT SURE 15%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you:

VERY WORRIED 35%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 35% 70%

NOT TOO WORRIED 18%

NOT WORRIED 12% 30%

NOT SURE 0.30%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you:

VERY WORRIED 29%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 47% 76%

NOT TOO WORRIED 14%

NOT WORRIED 9% 24%

NOT SURE 0.60%

Should illegal immigrants working in the United States be:

CHANCE TO STAY 47%

DEPORTED 44%

NOT SURE 9%

In general, which is better for the country?

SAME PARTY 44%

DIVIDED 40%

NOT SURE 16%

Demographics:

In terms of your political party identification, so you generally consider yourself a ____:

DEMOCRAT 35%

REPUBLICAN 35%

INDEPENDENT 30%

Would you describe your personal political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or very conservative?

VERY LIBERAL 4%

SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 17%

MODERATE 39%

SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 30%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 8%

DK/REF 2%

What is your age?

18-34 13%

35-49 30%

50-64 33%

65+ 24%

REF 0.20%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 88%

BLACK 10%

HISPANIC 1%

OTHER 0.60%

REFUSED 0.50%

SEX:

MALE 48%

FEMALE 52%

REGION:

ST. LOUIS COUNTY 26%

ST. LOUIS SUBURBS 11%

KANSAS CITY METRO 20%

NORTHERN MO 9%

CENTRAL MO 10%

SOUTHEAST MO 10%

SOUTHWEST MO 14%

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