MSNBC - McClatchy Washington Poll
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 24 through September 27, 2006. A total of 625 registered Washington State voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
Do you recognize the name ______? (IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
If the 2006 election for Washington’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:
CANTWELL 50%
MCGAVICK 40%
OTHER 1%
UNDECIDED 9%
Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:
FOR CANDIDATE 71%
AGAINST OPPONENT 20%
NOT SURE 9%
Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 21%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 19% (41%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 13%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 45% (57%)
NOT SURE 2%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 1%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 24% (26%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 26%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 36% (62%)
NOT SURE 13%
Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:
IRAQ 24%
TERRORISM/SECURITY 14%
ECONOMY/JOBS 11%
TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 13%
HEALTH CARE 11%
IMMIGRATION 11%
MORAL/FAMILY 8%
GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%
OTHER/DK 7%
Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT DIRECTION 31%
WRONG TRACK 57%
NOT SURE 12%
Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 19%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% (40%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 13%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 45% (58%)
NOT SURE 2%
What should the U.S. do in Iraq:
SEND MORE 16%
KEEP SAME 17%
WITHDRAW SOME 13%
WITHDRAW ALL 29%
NOT SURE 25%
How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you:
VERY WORRIED 26%
SOMEWHAT WORRIED 35% (61%)
NOT TOO WORRIED 27%
NOT WORRIED 11% (38%)
NOT SURE 1%
How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you:
VERY WORRIED 18%
SOMEWHAT WORRIED 40% (58%)
NOT TOO WORRIED 29%
NOT WORRIED 12% (41%)
NOT SURE 0.3%
Should illegal immigrants working in the United States be:
CHANCE TO STAY 57%
DEPORTED 31%
NOT SURE 12%
In general, which is better for the country? (ROTATE ORDER)
SAME PARTY 33%
DIVIDED 38%
NOT SURE 29%
Demographics:
In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican or an independent?
DEMOCRAT 36%
REPUBLICAN 31%
INDEPENDENT 33%
Would you describe your personal political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or very conservative?
VERY LIBERAL 11%
SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 16%
MODERATE 34%
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 29%
VERY CONSERVATIVE 8%
DK/REF 2%
What is your age?
18-34 16%
35-49 30%
50-64 34%
65+ 20%
REF 1%
Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
WHITE 88%
BLACK 2%
HISPANIC 7%
OTHER 1%
REFUSED 2%
SEX:
MALE 48%
FEMALE 52%
REGION:
KING COUNTY 32%
SNOHOMISH COUNTY 10%
PIERCE COUNTY 11%
WESTERN WASH 26%
EASTERN WASH 20%