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updated 10/24/2006 6:04:38 AM ET 2006-10-24T10:04:38

MSNBC - McClatchy Washington Poll October 2006

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 17 through October 19, 2006. A total of 625 registered Washington voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.

A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 Senate election were held today, would you vote for:

CANTWELL 52%

MCGAVICK 37%

OTHER 3%

UNDECIDED 8%

Will your vote for Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 74%

AGAINST OPPONENT 23%

NOT SURE 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?

STRONGLY APPROVE 21%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 13% (TOTAL APPROVE: 34%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 11%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 55% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 65%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?

STRONGLY APPROVE 2%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% (TOTAL APPROVE: 22%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 17%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 50% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 67%)

NOT SURE 11%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

IRAQ 24%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 9%

ECONOMY/JOBS 14%

HEALTH CARE 12%

IMMIGRATION 11%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 11%

MORAL/FAMILY 11%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%

OTHER/DK 8%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for Senate this year: (ORDER ROTATED)

RIGHT DIRECTION 25%

WRONG TRACK 69%

NOT SURE 7%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? Is that strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?

STRONGLY APPROVE 19%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 15% (TOTAL APPROVE: 34%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 11%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 52% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 63%)

NOT SURE 3%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq: Send more troops, keep the same number of troops, withdraw some troops, or withdraw all troops?

SEND MORE 14%

KEEP SAME 13%

WITHDRAW SOME 19%

WITHDRAW ALL 36%

NOT SURE 18%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?

VERY WORRIED 22%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 38% (TOTAL APPROVE: 59%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 22%

NOT WORRIED 18% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 40%)

NOT SURE 1%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?

VERY WORRIED 16%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 42% (TOTAL APPROVE: 58%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 31%

NOT WORRIED 11% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 42%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you think the speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert, should step down as speaker because of the way the Mark Foley issued was handled, or should he remain in his job?

(ROTATED)

STEP DOWN 38%

REMAIN 34%

NOT SURE 29%

Which of the following best describes your family's financial situation in the past few years: You have had enough money to maintain your standard of living, or you feel as if you have fallen behind?

HAVE ENOUGH 65%

FALLING BEHIND 33%

NOT SURE 2%

DEMOGRAPHICS:

What is your current official party voter registration? Are you registered to vote as a:

DEMOCRAT 37%

REPUBLICAN 32%

INDEPENDENT 31%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL 26%

MODERATE 37%

CONSERVATIVE 35%

DK/REF 2%

What is your age?

18-34 16%

35-49 31%

50-64 33%

65+ 20%

REF 1%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 88%

BLACK 2%

HISPANIC 7%

OTHER 1%

REFUSED 2%

SEX:

MALE 49%

FEMALE 51%

REGION:

KING COUNTY 32%

SNOHOMISH COUNTY 10%

PIERCE COUNTY 11%

WESTERN WASHINGTON 26%

EASTERN WASHINGTON 20%

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