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updated 10/24/2006 6:05:50 AM ET 2006-10-24T10:05:50

MSNBC - McClatchy New Jersey Poll October 2006

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 18 through October 21, 2006. A total of 625 registered New Jersey voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 Senate election were held today, would you vote for:

MENENDEZ 45%

KEAN 42%

OTHER 3%

UNDECIDED 11%

Will your vote for Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 64%

AGAINST OPPONENT 35%

NOT SURE 2%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 21%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 17% (TOTAL APPROVE: 38%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 48% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 61%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 1%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 20% (TOTAL APPROVE: 21%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 26%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 48% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 74%)

NOT SURE 5%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 28%

WRONG TRACK 64%

NOT SURE 9%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for Senate this year: (ORDER ROTATED)

IRAQ 27%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 21%

ECONOMY/JOBS 12%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 10%

IMMIGRATION 10%

HEALTH CARE 9%

MORAL/FAMILY 7%

OTHER/DK 5%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 16%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 17% (TOTAL APPROVE: 33%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 15%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 51% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 66%)

NOT SURE 1%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq: Send more troops, keep the same number of troops, withdraw some troops, or withdraw all troops?

SEND MORE 17%

KEEP SAME 15%

WITHDRAW SOME 25%

WITHDRAW ALL 34%

NOT SURE 9%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 25%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 37% (TOTAL APPROVE: 62%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 24%

NOT WORRIED 14% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 38%)

NOT SURE 1%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 25%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 52% (TOTAL APPROVE: 77%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 15%

NOT WORRIED 8% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 23%)

NOT SURE 0.3%

Do you think the speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert, should step down as speaker because of the way the Mark Foley issued was handled, or should he remain in his job? (ROTATED)

STEP DOWN 50%

REMAIN 36%

NOT SURE 15%

Which of the following best describes your family's financial situation in the past few years: You have had enough money to maintain your standard of living, or you feel as if you have fallen behind?

HAVE ENOUGH 68%

FALLING BEHIND 31%

NOT SURE 1%

DEMOGRAPHICS:

What is your current official party voter registration? Are you registered to vote as a:

DEMOCRAT 40%

REPUBLICAN 32%

INDEPENDENT 27%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL 25%

MODERATE 44%

CONSERVATIVE 30%

DK/REF 2%

What is your age?

18-34 16%

35-49 29%

50-64 31%

65+ 25%

REF 1%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 81%

BLACK 11%

HISPANIC 6%

OTHER 1%

REFUSED 1%

SEX:

MALE 49%

FEMALE 51%

REGION:

SOUTH JERSEY 21%

CENTRAL JERSEY 28%

NEWARK METRO 31%

NORTH JERSEY 20%

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