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updated 10/24/2006 6:06:00 AM ET 2006-10-24T10:06:00

MSNBC - McClatchy Montana Poll October 2006

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 17 through October 19, 2006. A total of 625 registered Montana voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.

A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

TESTER 46%

BURNS 43%

JONES 2%

UNDECIDED 9%

Will your vote for (Senate) mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 71%

AGAINST OPPONENT 27%

NOT SURE 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 24%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 24% (TOTAL APPROVE: 47%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 10%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 41% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 52%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 1%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 25% (TOTAL APPROVE: 26%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 26%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 40% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 66%)

NOT SURE 8%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 30%

WRONG TRACK 61%

NOT SURE 9%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for Senate this year: (ORDER ROTATED)

IRAQ 26%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 14%

ECONOMY/JOBS 10%

HEALTH CARE 12%

IMMIGRATION 7%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 11%

MORAL/FAMILY 10%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 5%

OTHER/DK 6%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 22%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 20% (TOTAL APPROVE: 42%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 13%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 45% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 58%)

NOT SURE 1%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq: Send more troops, keep the same number of troops, withdraw some troops, or withdraw all troops?

SEND MORE 19%

KEEP SAME 18%

WITHDRAW SOME 19%

WITHDRAW ALL 28%

NOT SURE 16%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?

VERY WORRIED 25%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 31%

NOT TOO WORRIED 23%

NOT WORRIED 21%

NOT SURE 1%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 16%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 39% (TOTAL APPROVE: 55%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 33%

NOT WORRIED 9% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 41%)

NOT SURE 4%

Do you think the speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert, should step down as speaker because of the way the Mark Foley issued was handled, or should he remain in his job? (ROTATED)

STEP DOWN 36%

REMAIN 41%

NOT SURE 23%

Which of the following best describes your family's financial situation in the past few years: You have had enough money to maintain your standard of living, or you feel as if you have fallen behind?

HAVE ENOUGH 66%

FALLING BEHIND 32%

NOT SURE 2%

DEMOGRAPHICS:

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or an independent?

DEMOCRAT 31%

REPUBLICAN 38%

INDEPENDENT 30%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL 15%

MODERATE 43%

CONSERVATIVE 40%

DK/REF 2%

What is your age?

18-34 12%

35-49 31%

50-64 33%

65+ 23%

REF 0%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 91%

BLACK 2%

HISPANIC 1%

OTHER 5%

REFUSED 1%

SEX:

MALE 49%

FEMALE 51%

REGION:

EASTERN MONTANA 9%

BILLINGS 20%

GREAT FALLS 17%

BUTTE/HELENA 26%

MISSOULA 29%

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