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updated 10/24/2006 6:05:39 AM ET 2006-10-24T10:05:39

MSNBC - McClatchy Ohio Poll October 2006

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 18 through October 20, 2006. A total of 625 registered Ohio voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election. Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.

A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true"  figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 Governor’s election were held today, would you vote for:

STRICKLAND 54%

BLACKWELL 34%

OTHER 1%

UNDECIDED 11%

If the 2006 Senate election were held today, would you vote for:

BROWN 48%

DEWINE 40%

OTHER 3%

UNDECIDED 9%

Will your vote for Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 68%

AGAINST OPPONENT 29%

NOT SURE 3%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 24%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 19% (TOTAL APPROVE: 43%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 43% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 56%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 2%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 22% (TOTAL APPROVE: 23%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 27%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 43% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 71%)

NOT SURE 6%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 32%

WRONG TRACK 59%

NOT SURE 10%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for Senate this year: (ORDER ROTATED)

IRAQ 19%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 11%

ECONOMY/JOBS 21%

HEALTH CARE 9%

IMMIGRATION 6%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 9%

MORAL/FAMILY 13%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%

OTHER/DK 10%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 22%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 15% (TOTAL APPROVE: 37%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 14%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 43% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 57%)

NOT SURE 7%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq: Send more troops, keep the same number of troops, withdraw some troops, or withdraw all troops?

SEND MORE 16%

KEEP SAME 16%

WITHDRAW SOME 23%

WITHDRAW ALL 30%

NOT SURE 15%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 35%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 33% (TOTAL APPROVE: 67%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 20%

NOT WORRIED 13% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 33%)

NOT SURE 0.2%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 19%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 49% (TOTAL APPROVE: 68%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 23%

NOT WORRIED 9% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 32%)

NOT SURE 0.3%

Do you think the speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert, should step down as speaker because of the way the Mark Foley issued was handled, or should he remain in his job? (ROTATED)

STEP DOWN 40%

REMAIN 36%

NOT SURE 25%

Which of the following best describes your family's financial situation in the past few years: You have had enough money to maintain your standard of living, or you feel as if you have fallen behind?

HAVE ENOUGH 62%

FALLING BEHIND 36%

NOT SURE 2%

DEMOGRAPHICS:

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or an independent? Are you registered to vote as a:

DEMOCRAT 35%

REPUBLICAN 39%

INDEPENDENT 26%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL 17%

MODERATE 45%

CONSERVATIVE 37%

DK/REF 1%

What is your age?

18-34 13%

35-49 29%

50-64 30%

65+ 27%

REF 1%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 88%

BLACK 9%

HISPANIC 1%

OTHER 1%

REFUSED 1%

SEX:

MALE 49%

FEMALE 52%

REGION:

NORTHEAST OHIO 38%

NORTHWEST OHIO 13%

CENTRAL OHIO 15%

SOUTHEAST OHIO 10%

SOUTHWEST OHIO 24%

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