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updated 10/24/2006 6:05:01 AM ET 2006-10-24T10:05:01

MSNBC - McClatchy Tennessee Poll October 2006

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 18 through October 20, 2006. A total of 625 registered Tennessee voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 Governor’s election were held today, would you vote for:

BREDESEN 62%

BRYSON 27%

OTHER 1%

UNDECIDED 11%

If the 2006 Senate election were held today, would you vote for:

FORD 43%

CORKER 45%

OTHER 2%

UNDECIDED 9%

Will your vote for (Senate) mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 69%

AGAINST OPPONENT 27%

NOT SURE 4%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 26%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% (TOTAL APPROVE: 46%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 14%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 38% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 51%)

NOT SURE 2%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 1%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 24% (TOTAL APPROVE: 25%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 23%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 40% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 63%)

NOT SURE 12%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 28%

WRONG TRACK 57%

NOT SURE 15%


Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for Senate this year: (ORDER ROTATED)

IRAQ 22%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 14%

ECONOMY/JOBS 10%

HEALTH CARE 14%

IMMIGRATION 9%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 6%

MORAL/FAMILY 15%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%

OTHER/DK 9%

In general, do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 19%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 25% (TOTAL APPROVE: 44%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 9%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 37% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 47%)

NOT SURE 10%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq: Send more troops, keep the same number of troops, withdraw some troops, or withdraw all troops?

SEND MORE 19%

KEEP SAME 20%

WITHDRAW SOME 17%

WITHDRAW ALL 22%

NOT SURE 21%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 29%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 30% (TOTAL APPROVE: 60%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 22%

NOT WORRIED 17% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 39%)

NOT SURE 2%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)

VERY WORRIED 19%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 46% (TOTAL APPROVE: 65%)

NOT TOO WORRIED 22%

NOT WORRIED 11% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 34%)

NOT SURE 2%

Do you think the speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert, should step down as speaker because of the way the Mark Foley issued was handled, or should he remain in his job? (ROTATED)

STEP DOWN 34%

REMAIN 32%

NOT SURE 34%

Which of the following best describes your family's financial situation in the past few years: You have had enough money to maintain your standard of living, or you feel as if you have fallen behind?

HAVE ENOUGH 61%

FALLING BEHIND 36%

NOT SURE 2%

DEMOGRAPHICS:

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican, or an independent? Are you registered to vote as a:

DEMOCRAT 34%

REPUBLICAN 39%

INDEPENDENT 26%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL 14%

MODERATE 38%

CONSERVATIVE 45%

DK/REF 3%

What is your age?

18-34 15%

35-49 31%

50-64 30%

65+ 24%

REF 1%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 84%

BLACK 15%

HISPANIC 0.3%

OTHER 0.3%

REFUSED 1%

SEX:

MALE 49%

FEMALE 52%

REGION:

EAST TENNESSEE 37%

MIDDLE TENNESSEE 36%

WEST TENNESSEE 27%

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