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updated 11/5/2006 7:10:42 AM ET 2006-11-05T12:10:42

The Mason-Dixon Montana Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 31 through November 2, 2006. A total of 625 registered Montana voters were interviewed statewide by telephone.  All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

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Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.  A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points.  This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a region or gender grouping.

SAMPLE FIGURES:

SEX:

Male 311 (50%)        

Female 314 (50%)

REGION:

Eastern Montana    55 interviews             

Billings                    125 interviews             

Great Falls              105 interviews             

Butte/Helena           160 interviews             

Missoula/Kalispell   180 interviews

Do you recognize the name _____________?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

                        FAVORABLE  UNFAVORABLE  NEUTRAL     DON’T RECOGNIZE

Jon Tester         44%                 40%                      15%                1%      

Conrad Burns    44%                42%                       13%                1%      

Stan Jones        7%                  10%                       22%                61%      

If the 2006 election for Montana’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you for:

- Jon Tester, Democrat                            

- Conrad Burns, Republican                              

- Stan Jones, Libertarian Party

           

                          BURNS    TESTER    JONES    UNDECIDED

STATE               47%         47%           1%              5%

REGION                      BURNS    TESTER    JONES    UNDECIDED

Eastern Montana        57%           38%            -                 5%

Billings                        52%           42%           1%              5%

Great Falls                 45%           48%            1%              6%

Butte/Helena              38%           56%            1%             5%

Missoula/Kalispell      49%           45%            1%             5%

SEX                BURNS    TESTER    JONES    UNDECIDED

Men                    54%          41%           1%             4%

Women            40%          53%           1%             6%

PARTY ID        BURNS    TESTER    JONES    UNDECIDED

Democrats          8%           88%            -               4%

Republicans      89%          6%              -               5%

Independent       37%          52%           3%            8%

Regardless of how you are voting in the U.S. Senate race, please tell me which candidate – Conrad Burns, Jon Tester or Stan Jones -- you feel would do a better job handling each of the following issues:

- The war in Iraq & National Security issues?

BURNS                      47%

TESTER                     45%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                7%

- Health care issues?

TESTER                     46%

BURNS                      41%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                12%

- Agriculture and farm issues?

TESTER                     50%

BURNS                      42%

JONES                       -

NOT SURE                8%

- The federal budget, taxes and economic issues?

BURNS                      45%

TESTER                     44%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                10%

- Bringing federal money to Montana?

BURNS                      51%

TESTER                     36%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                12%

- Gas prices and energy issues?

TESTER                     50%

BURNS                      31%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                18%

- Honesty in government and ethical issues?

TESTER                     47%

BURNS                      35%

JONES                       2%

NOT SURE                16%

- Education issues?

TESTER                     46%

BURNS                      41%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                12%

-  Best represents your own views on the issues?

BURNS                      46%

TESTER                     45%

JONES                       1%

NOT SURE                8%

- Has the personal qualities that make him more qualified to be senator.

BURNS                      43%

TESTER                     42%

JONES                       -

NOT SURE                15%

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