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updated 11/5/2006 7:10:42 AM ET 2006-11-05T12:10:42

This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 31 through November 2, 2006.  A total of 625 registered Michigan voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.  

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Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. 

A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

JENNIFER GRANHOLM

DICK DEVOS

DEBBIE STABENOW

MIKE BOUCHARD

FAVORABLE

50%

29%

46%

29%

UNFAVORABLE

30%

44%

29%

31%

NEUTRAL

19%

26%

24%

31%

DON'T RECOGNIZE

1%

1%

1%

9%

If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:

GRANHOLM

52%

DEVOS

38%

OTHER

2%

UNDECIDED

8%

If the 2006 election for Michigan’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

STABENOW

53%

BOUCHARD

37%

OTHER

3%

UNDECIDED

7%

Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE

76%

AGAINST OPPONENT

22%

NOT SURE

2%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE

20%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE

22%

42%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE

11%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

46%

57%

NOT SURE

2%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job?  Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?

STRONGLY APPROVE

2%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE

25%

27%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE

25%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

43%

67%

NOT SURE

6%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

ECONOMY/JOBS

38%

IRAQ

18%

TERRORISM/SECURITY

11%

MORAL/FAMILY

10%

HEALTH CARE

6%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG

6%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY

4%

IMMIGRATION

3%

OTHER/DK

4%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION

24%

WRONG TRACK

61%

NOT SURE

15%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq?  (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE

17%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE

18%

35%

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE

20%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE

43%

63%

NOT SURE

2%

In your view, did either of the candidates for U.S. Senate attack the other unfairly?

NO

28%

STABENOW DID

0.6%

BOUCHARD DID

7%

BOTH DID

39%

NOT SURE

25%

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a Democrat, a Republican or an independent?

DEMOCRAT

40%

REPUBLICAN

34%

INDEPENDENT

26%

Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?

LIBERAL

22%

MODERATE

41%

CONSERVATIVE

36%

DK/REF

2%

What is your age?

18-34

15%

35-49

29%

50-64

31%

65+

24%

REF

0.6%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE

83%

BLACK

12%

HISPANIC

0.5%

OTHER

4%

REFUSED

1%

SEX:

MALE

49%

FEMALE

51%

REGION:

WAYNE COUNTY

18%

OAKLAND COUNTY

14%

MACOMB COUNTY

8%

SAGINAW/FLINT

14%

CENTRAL MI

14%

WESTERN MI

21%

NORTHERN MI

11%

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