updated 1/13/2004 7:25:39 AM ET 2004-01-13T12:25:39

The Democratic candidates for President in 2004 are Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Carol Mosley-Braun, Joe Lieberman, Al Sharpton, and Wesley Clark? If the caucus were held today, for whom would you vote? 
Dean  26%
Gephardt 23%
Kerry  16%
Edwards 12%
Clark  2%
Lieberman 2%
Kucinich 3%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton 1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 14%

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From the same list, who would be your second choice… 
Kerry  21%
Dean  21%
Gephardt 15%
Edwards 13%
Clark  5%
Lieberman 2%
Kucinich 2%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton 1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 20%

If you had to choose today, which candidate are you leaning toward? (Asked only of those who responded "Not sure" to the first question.) 
Dean  17%
Gephardt 15%
Edwards 9%
Kerry  7%
Kucinich 1%
Not sure 51%

How strong is your support for the candidate you chose in the first question?
Very strong  61%
Somewhat strong 37%
Not strong  2%
Not sure  1%

If Howard Dean is the Democratic nominee, how likely is it that he will beat George Bush?
Very likely  26%
Somewhat likely  39%
Somewhat unlikely  16%
Very unlikely  13%
Not sure  7%

How likely do you think that any Democrat currently in the race could beat George Bush?
Very likely  37%
Somewhat likely  45%
Somewhat unlikely  10%
Very unlikely  5%
Not sure  4%

Overall opinion - Wesley Clark 
Very favorable  11%
Somewhat favorable  24%
Somewhat unfavorable 11%
Very unfavorable  13%
Not familiar   39%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Howard Dean 
Very favorable  32%
Somewhat favorable  36%
Somewhat unfavorable 10%
Very unfavorable  12%
Not familiar   8%
Not sure   2%
 
Overall opinion - John Edwards 
Very favorable  29%
Somewhat favorable  35%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable  5%
Not familiar   21%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Richard Gephardt 
Very favorable  37%
Somewhat favorable  37%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable  6%
Not familiar   8%
Not sure   3%

Overall opinion - John Kerry 
Very favorable  36%
Somewhat favorable  37%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable  7%
Not familiar   11%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Dennis Kucinich 
Very favorable  8%
Somewhat favorable  18%
Somewhat unfavorable 11%
Very unfavorable  11%
Not familiar   49%
Not sure   2%
 
Overall opinion - Joe Lieberman 
Very favorable  6%
Somewhat favorable  29%
Somewhat unfavorable 24%
Very unfavorable  22%
Not familiar   16%
Not sure   3%

Overall opinion - Carol Mosley-Braun 
Very favorable  9%
Somewhat favorable  16%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable  16%
Not familiar   48%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Al Sharpton 
Very favorable  4%
Somewhat favorable  12%
Somewhat unfavorable 15%
Very unfavorable  26%
Not familiar   39%
Not sure   3%

Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of about 500 likely caucus voters statewide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Friday (1/9/04) thru Sunday (1/11/04). The margin of error is +/- 4.5%. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, union, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

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