updated 1/14/2004 7:23:49 AM ET 2004-01-14T12:23:49

The Democratic candidates for President in 2004 are Howard Dean, John Edwards, Richard Gephardt, John Kerry, Dennis Kucinich, Carol Mosley-Braun, Joe Lieberman, Al Sharpton, and Wesley Clark? If the caucus were held today, for whom would you vote? 
Dean  28%
Gephardt 23%
Kerry  17%
Edwards 14%
Kucinich 3%
Clark  2%
Lieberman 1%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton .1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 12%

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From the same list, who would be your second choice… 
Kerry  21%
Dean  17%
Gephardt 15%
Edwards 15%
Clark  5%
Lieberman 1%
Kucinich 3%
Mosley-Braun 1%
Sharpton .1%
Someone else 1%
Not sure 20%

If you had to choose today, which candidate are you leaning toward? (Asked only of those who responded "Not sure" to the first question.) 
Dean  14%
Gephardt 14%
Edwards 7%
Kerry  6%
Clark 2%
Not sure 58%

How strong is your support for the candidate you chose in the first question?
Very strong  61%
Somewhat strong 36%
Not strong  3%
Not sure  1%

If Howard Dean is the Democratic nominee, how likely is it that he will beat George Bush?
Very likely  27%
Somewhat likely  39%
Somewhat unlikely  18%
Very unlikely  12%
Not sure  5%

How likely do you think that any Democrat currently in the race could beat George Bush?
Very likely  38%
Somewhat likely  46%
Somewhat unlikely  9%
Very unlikely  4%
Not sure  3%

Overall opinion - Wesley Clark 
Very favorable  11%
Somewhat favorable  27%
Somewhat unfavorable 12%
Very unfavorable  13%
Not familiar   35%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Howard Dean 
Very favorable  32%
Somewhat favorable  38%
Somewhat unfavorable 11%
Very unfavorable  12%
Not familiar   5%
Not sure   2%
 
Overall opinion - John Edwards 
Very favorable  29%
Somewhat favorable  38%
Somewhat unfavorable 8%
Very unfavorable  4%
Not familiar   18%
Not sure   3%

Overall opinion - Richard Gephardt 
Very favorable  36%
Somewhat favorable  38%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable  8%
Not familiar   7%
Not sure   3%

Overall opinion - John Kerry 
Very favorable  35%
Somewhat favorable  40%
Somewhat unfavorable 9%
Very unfavorable  6%
Not familiar   9%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Dennis Kucinich 
Very favorable  9%
Somewhat favorable  18%
Somewhat unfavorable 13%
Very unfavorable  13%
Not familiar   46%
Not sure   2%
 
Overall opinion - Joe Lieberman 
Very favorable  6%
Somewhat favorable  32%
Somewhat unfavorable 23%
Very unfavorable  22%
Not familiar   15%
Not sure   3%

Overall opinion - Carol Mosley-Braun 
Very favorable  7%
Somewhat favorable  20%
Somewhat unfavorable 10%
Very unfavorable  16%
Not familiar   45%
Not sure   2%

Overall opinion - Al Sharpton 
Very favorable  4%
Somewhat favorable  12%
Somewhat unfavorable 14%
Very unfavorable  29%
Not familiar   39%
Not sure   2%

Zogby International conducted telephone interviews of a random sampling of about 500 likely caucus voters statewide. All calls were made from Zogby International headquarters in Utica, N.Y., from Saturday (1/10/04) through Monday (1/12/04). The margin of error is +/- 4.5%. Slight weights were added to party, age, education, union, and gender to more accurately reflect the voting population. Margins of error are higher in sub-groups.

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