today's deep dive, skyfall. earlier this month, a pair of major astronomic events gave the world a wake-up call. the fall of a meteor over
became an internet sensation. the object is believed to be around 50 feet wide and 10,000 tons when it entered the
's atmosphere injured some 1,200 people when it slammed into
. the meteor was a surprise, even more so because it came just hours before another cosmic event. later the same day, an asteroid passed about 17,000 miles from
, closer than some satellites. the astronaut was expected, but it hadn't been on
's radar, until its discovery by an observatory in spain a couple years before. these two objects have put a new spotlight on objects that pose a risk to
on any given day. most burns up or is so small we don't know it.
is aware of some 20,000 pieces of debris that are currently orbiting the
that are the size of a softball or large. but the real concern is around neos or near
objects or asteroids that could conceivably enter our atmosphere. 863 are asteroids with a diameter roughly half a mile or larger, which if they struck
, could produce a major
. a study from m.i.t. found that these kind of asteroids only hit the
every 600,000 years or so, but smaller asteroids, like the ones that hit
, are far more common, like once every hundred years. prior to this, the most famous example was the so-called
. an asteroid leveled 800 miles of forest and creating a seismic shock wave as
. but the good news, no major asteroids are believed to be on a collision course with
, though scientists admit they haven't detected all of them. that brings us to what washington can do with them. russ holt is a physicist, former director of the
princeton plasma physics laboratory
. congressman holt, you know, not everybody that's a member of congress is a physicist, so that's why we like having you on.
, i guess the thing that is so disturbing -- the thing that is so disturbing about what happened in
and what happened with that asteroid is that our own
, did not know about either incident first. that it was sort of discovered elsewhere. why is that?
well, over the last ten years, our tracking has grown tremendously, from following just a few dozen meteors, asteroids, over, you know, a decade ago, to now tracking, as you point out, 10,000 to 20,000. your lead-in was really very complete and very good. and it's -- we've come a long way in tracking these things. in
, congress directed
to be able to track 90% of these objects that are greater than 150 feet. and we're nowhere close to that yet. the goal was to achieve that by
. in order to do that would require a much larger program than exists now. but they are seeing more and more of them. so if there is one that poses a real hazard, a more immediate threat to the
, we have a pretty good chance or, i guess, at this point, a fair chance of detecting it.
well, but we wouldn't have detected the russian -- should the russian meteor, the meteor that hit
, been something
, should be able to detect?
the russian -- the meteor that exploded a couple weeks ago, you know, it might have been detected, but it was not in the goal, in the
. so the size is smaller than this, you know, goal to detect 90% of the 150-foot and larger me meteoroids by
and attract them.
has been something the president has been willing to cut. when he offers budget cuts,
is always the first on the
. ditto with congress. there isn't this same popularity to
as there was 20 and 30 years ago, when congress enjoyed giving it money. should this be part of
, in a way? and if it was, to be a total cynic here, since the
always gets the money it wants, would that speed up the ability of
to do this?
is now funded at about $20 million for this program. the
national academy of sciences
said it would take about $50 million a year to be able to reach this goal of detecting and tracking 90% of these. i'm sure your viewers are wondering, why is
talking about meteors, you know, on the eve of the huge budget cuts. well, you know, there is an appropriate role for government. and in this -- in the days of these strong anti-government campaigns, it's worth remembering that the government does have a role in protection and defense and security and in inspection, and enforcement of
. and yes,
things that fall from the sky
. so, this is not a time to be talking about budget cutting, i would argue.
, congress' only physicist, perhaps, probably, at least on the iq basis, the smartest guy in congress.
well, thanks, chuck.
some people might say that's a low bar these day, but, anyway,
, thank you very much.