updated 7/15/2013 9:16:53 PM ET 2013-07-16T01:16:53

Americans are not optimistic that a comprehensive immigration bill will pass the House.

A change of season does not bring a change of issues for Congress. As lawmakers head into the summer, it’s the same old docket. From student loans to immigration, Democrats and Republicans remains at odds on how to handle the issues.

Americans are not too optimistic that anything can be accomplished within the gridlock of Washington this year. According to a poll by Quinnipiac University, 69% of voters say they do not believe immigration reform will pass this year, with only 27% thinking that both sides of the aisle can work together to pass a bill.

But some in our nation’s capital don’t share the sentiment. “I’m not as down on this process right now as other people are,”’s Perry Bacon Jr. told The Cycle hosts. “The Senate bill [on immigration] passed 18 days ago, so things in Congress move pretty slowly.” Bacon remarked that House Speaker John Boehner “knows most House members hate this bill and it’s going to have to pass with Democratic votes. So he couldn’t put a bill on the floor next week. He has to let this process come out, he has to let Republican activists complain.”

Speculation still swirls as to whether or not Boehner would violate the Hastert Rule and bring the immigration bill to the floor for a vote. But if Bacon is right that letting naysayers complain will eventually bring the bill forward, Boehner may be waiting a while. After all, this is the same House that translated their complaints about Obamacare into 37 separate votes against the law–with promises of more to come.

Video: Bacon: Obama’s ‘carefully vetted’ response to the Zimmerman verdict

  1. Closed captioning of: Bacon: Obama’s ‘carefully vetted’ response to the Zimmerman verdict

    >>> now, while we have been concentrating on this george zimmerman trial, a lot has been happening in the political world . we want to get to it. let's bring in our washington insider perry bacon. how you doing?

    >> good to see you.

    >> let's start with some of the reporting you've been doing on that very careful statement that the president put out. everyone understands it's somewhat unusual for the president to talk about a specific verdict. you were talking to someone at the white house about that. what did you learn?

    >> this is a 166-word statement that was very carefully vetted. 166 was the words, but it was very reviewed by a lot of officials. the president dictated it himself to the speech writers. this is something he thought a lot about beforehand. they feel like they had to plan this out for two reasons. the first being the president really feels. horribly for the martin family and wanted to speak to them in a personal way. the second thing is they wanted to make sure the president really spoke directly and encouraged people to remain calm and not have any kind of violent rioting. they felt it was very important to have it come out in the president's words in the first 24 hours . i asked him about any kind of broader action about this. they said this was part of a broader push on gun control, but the white house officials i talked to said there's probably not going to be any kind of broader race speech or broader racial initiative from this case that the president would lead. although, i would say that eric holder today spoke at a group of the deltas, the african-american women fraternity and sorority. he mentioned specifically he thinks there should be a broader discussion about race because of this case. holder, who in the past has talked about race and more in a personal way than the president has at times.

    >> something we know about both of them as senior african- american federal officials is eric holder has always had more of an interest in that discussion piece of this. being the president of the whole country and often talking about this case as some sort of teachable moment but not a moment for organizing around policy. one other civil rights issue i wanted to get you on this week on wednesday, the senate judiciary committee will begin the first voting rights hearing since that shelby decision when the supreme court basically knocked down a key section of the voting rights act . the most interesting part for those of us who have been following the story is that you have a republican congressman testifying what does that mean here, perry ?

    >> important thing, he used to be the head of the house judiciary committee . he's a republican from wisconsin. he twice led the republicans in their effort to support the reauthorization of the voting rights act . he's in the past been an ally with democrats on this issue. so it's important to have him on the hearing because the civil rights groups have told me their strategy to get a new section 4 is to build this block by block, republican by republican. rather than trying to, you know, get president obama to put out a bill and need senate democrats to pass one. it would be dead on arrival in it the house . they want to build a bipartisan bill with a john lewis , maybe with an eric cantor involved even to get a bipartisan bill in the house that can get support in the senate as well. it's also in the broader house .

    >> perry , speaking of doa in the house , the senate passed an immigration reform bill, and it looks like it's not going to do so well in the house . one of the reasons for that may be the racial makeup of districts in the house . republican districts tend to be far less black, brown, and asian than the national average and where are white where democratic districts tend to be much more people of color than the national average. is that a big part in this, that a lot of republicans in the house do not feel that they have to go home and speak to the hispanic-americans in their districts and do you think the house is going to do anything with the senate's bill or just kill it?

    >> let me make two points. the first one is we're asking the house members to do something against their self-interest on some level. politicians rarely do that. for most republicans, voting for an immigration bill that will maybe help marco rubio run for president in 2016 is not their first priority. their priority is re-election. that's driving it. i would say i'm not as down on this process right now as other people are. the senate bill passed 18 days ago. so things in congress move pretty slowly. what john boehner is doing right now is what he has to do. he has to sound negative about this. he knows most house republicans are don't like this bill, and it's going to have to pass with democratic votes. he couldn't put a bill on the floor next week. he has to let this process come out. he has to let republican activists complain. he has to let republican members complain. he has to sort of, you know, act for a while. remember the fiscal cliff thing? we knew ultimately he was going to let the house vote for tax increases. he had to pretend to be outraged and go through that whole game and that whole acting process first. i think we have to watch that here. i think this bill is not dead. i think we have to, you know, the august recess will happen. republicans will hear from their constituents. then we can see in september where we are and if there's a house passing a more conservative bill and then sort of gradually move toward a path of citizenship.

    >> i'm just concerned there's a lot of acting going down in washington. i just don't like the sound of that.

    >> we're usually very candid here. in this case, i think there may be a little bit of people not saying what their true position is.

    >> all right. perry bacon, thank you for of the report.


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