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First Read’s Morning Clips

ONE YEAR OUT: In search of a political reset

One of us(!) writes about the big picture for 2016 with one year to go. "The electorate is facing the most tumultuous time in American politics in at least 50 years — arguably a century — and their ultimate choice for president is almost certain to be a candidate who reflects the churning and tumult of a changing United States."

The electorate right now is angry and dissatisfied, with just 27 percent saying the country is headed on the right track.

Ben Carson has surged into the lead on the GOP side, besting Trump 29 percent to 23 percent, another one of us(!) writes.

And Hillary Clinton is leading Bernie Sanders by a margin of two to one, our new NBC News/WSJ poll shows.

Msnbc's Alex Seitz-Wald breaks down how Democrats can keep the White House in 2016.

And Msnbc's Benjy Sarlin takes a look at exactly how Republicans can get back into the Oval Office.

Democrats are aiming to take control in the Senate. Here are six top races to watch.

Will 2016 be the Year of the Woman? NBC's Perry Bacon looks at the impact of a Clinton nomination.

A word of warning from Dante Chinni: The dynamics of the electorate can change fast, especially on economic measures.

OFF TO THE RACES: Voters are voting!

KENTUCKY: The Lexington Herald-Leader has you covered on the big governor's race in the Bluegrass State.

From the New York Times: "Analysts say much will depend on turnout. Registered Democrats outnumber registered Republicans in Kentucky, but if Mr. Bevin — a staunch opponent of same-sex marriage — can drive enough Christian conservatives to the polls, it could help him eke out a victory."

OHIO: Msnbc.com reports on the businesses behind Ohio's ballot initiative to legalize marijuana.

TEXAS: Houston voters will be weighing in on a nondiscrimination ordinance for gay and transgender people. "Proposition 1, the Houston Equal Rights Ordinance, would consolidate existing bans on discrimination based on race, sex, religion and other categories in employment, housing and public accommodations, extending protections to gay, lesbian, bisexual and transgender individuals."

VIRGINIA: Virginia voters will settle which party controls the state Senate. The Richmond Times-Dispatch has all the details.

President Barack Obama poked fun at the GOP candidates for complaining about the CNBC debate last week. "Every one of these candidates says, 'Obama's weak, Putin's kicking sand in his face. When I talk to Putin, he's going to straighten out,'" he said. "And then it turns out, they can't handle a bunch of CNBC moderators."

The New York Times looks at how the GOP electorate is divided over whether or not the government is a protector or a threat.

A new Pew Research Survey finds that Americans with no religious affiliation now make up 28 percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning adults.

CLINTON: She's out with a new ad in Iowa and New Hampshire focusing on gun control. "How many people have to die before we actually act?”

RUBIO: He plans to shift from a focus on fundraising to campaigning in key early states, POLITICO reports.

TRUMP: He said on ABC that Ben Carson doesn't have the "temperament" to be president.

He says he's willing to go it alone and negotiate with TV networks about the debate formats without coordinating with other campaigns or the RNC.

OBAMA AGENDA: Obama sits down with Lester Holt

Here is NBC’s Lester Holt’s interview with President Obama on criminal justice reform.

PROGRAMMING NOTES.

*** Tuesday’s “Andrea Mitchell Reports” line-up: In a special “Super Tuesday” edition Andrea Mitchell interviews presidential candidate Sen. Bernie Sanders, HHS Sec. Sylvia Matthews Burwell, “NBC Nightly News” anchor Lester Holt with more of his exclusive interview with Pres. Obama, USA Today’s Susan Page, the Washington Post’s Chris Cillizza, and NBC and MSNBC reporters on the 2016 trail – Katy Tur, Chris Jansing, Kristen Welker, Kasie Hunt, and Jacob Soboroff.