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The Lid: Both Sides Need to Turn Up Voter Turnout

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Image: US-POLITICS-EARLY-VOTING
Three people vote in booths at the Early Vote Center in northeast Minneapolis, Minnesota on October 5, 2016. Voters in Minnesota can submit their ballot for the General Election at locations across the state every day until Election Day on November 8, 2016. / AFP PHOTO / STEPHEN MATURENSTEPHEN MATUREN/AFP/Getty ImagesSTEPHEN MATUREN / AFP - Getty Images

Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos…The people of Washington D.C. are suffering from unprecedented anxiety, feeling the cold mix of hope and dread that precedes a turning point in history. And for once, it’s not about politics! Go Nats. #onepursuit

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‘16 from 30,000:

Polls, polls, polls! It’s already been an action-packed week for data nerds, and we at the NBC News mothership did our part again today with new polls in the key swing states of North Carolina and Ohio. In the Tarheel State, Clinton is up by four points in a four way race; she gets support from 45 percent of likely voters, Trump gets 41 percent, and Libertarian Gary Johnson gets nine percent. (Jill Stein is not on the ballot in the state). In Ohio, it’s Clinton 42 percent, Trump 41 percent, Johnson nine percent and Stein five percent.

Here’s what’s happening with that close Ohio race: our poll showed party ID in the state tied among respondents, but in the 2012 election, Democrats bested by Republicans by seven points overall. That means that the ultimate result is going to be all about which side turns out their voters most effectively, and by what margin. Yes, it’s the worst cliché in politics: But it really is… all coming down to turnout.

POPPING ON NBC POLITICS

FOR THE RECORD…

"This wasn't just locker room banter, this was a powerful individual speaking freely and openly about sexually predatory behavior."

-- First Lady Michelle Obama in a rally for Hillary Clinton on Thursday.

TOMORROW’S SKED

Donald Trump campaigns in North Carolina.