Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos…The people of Washington D.C. are suffering from unprecedented anxiety, feeling the cold mix of hope and dread that precedes a turning point in history. And for once, it's not about politics! Go Nats. #onepursuit
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'16 from 30,000:
Polls, polls, polls! It's already been an action-packed week for data nerds, and we at the NBC News mothership did our part again today with new polls in the key swing states of North Carolina and Ohio. In the Tarheel State, Clinton is up by four points in a four way race; she gets support from 45 percent of likely voters, Trump gets 41 percent, and Libertarian Gary Johnson gets nine percent. (Jill Stein is not on the ballot in the state). In Ohio, it's Clinton 42 percent, Trump 41 percent, Johnson nine percent and Stein five percent.
Here's what's happening with that close Ohio race: our poll showed party ID in the state tied among respondents, but in the 2012 election, Democrats bested by Republicans by seven points overall. That means that the ultimate result is going to be all about which side turns out their voters most effectively, and by what margin. Yes, it's the worst cliché in politics: But it really is… all coming down to turnout.
POPPING ON NBC POLITICS
- Hot off the presses: Hillary Clinton leads Donald Trump by four points in North Carolina, while Trump is ahead by one in Ohio, according to two new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls of these states.
- Michelle Obama condemned Donald Trump for his "disgraceful" in a powerful speech Thursday.
- Trump denied the allegations and went after the accusers.
- Fact check: Four things Donald Trump got wrong during today's speech.
- One of us broke down "locker room talk" by the numbers.
- House Speaker Paul Ryan on Thursday adamantly ignored the controversy dogging Republican nominee Donald Trump and insisted his party is "running on ideas," NBC's Alex Jaffe reports.
- A lawyer for the New York Times on Thursday rejected Donald Trump's demand to retract an article that featured two women who claimed the GOP nominee groped them.
- And from First Read: S.O.S.: The Trump ship starts to sink.
FOR THE RECORD…
"This wasn't just locker room banter, this was a powerful individual speaking freely and openly about sexually predatory behavior."
-- First Lady Michelle Obama in a rally for Hillary Clinton on Thursday.
Donald Trump campaigns in North Carolina.