Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos…President Obama on Thursday told voters this election is not a reality TV show like "Survivor." And that's too bad because the idea of being stranded on a remote island with no electronics sounds like a pretty great way to spend the next five days.
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'16 from 30,000: While campaigning in Arizona on Wednesday, Hillary Clinton declared: "We have a real chance to turn this state blue again." But fresh NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist polls show she'll have some work to do before that happens. Donald Trump leads Clinton by five points (45-40) among likely voters in The Grand Canyon State. Trump was ahead by just two points back in September. And in Texas, Trump leads Clinton by nine in a four-way race that includes Libertarian Gary Johnson and Green Party candidate Jill Stein. It's a comfortable lead but paces well behind Mitt Romney's 16-point win in the Lone Star State in 2012.
The most interesting results of the three traditionally red states we polled came from Georgia, where Trump holds a one-point lead (45-44) over Clinton. (Johnson is polling at 8 percent and Stein is not on the ballot.) The last time Georgia went for a Democrat was for another Clinton in 1992. Though it's also worth noting Trump leads in early voting in Arizona and Georgia, although narrowly in Arizona and Georgia.
POPPING ON NBC POLITICS
Fresh polls!!: Trump leads in Arizona and Texas, while it's deadlocked in Georgia.
Hillary Clinton rallied black voters Thursday, revisiting Donald Trump's controversial history with the African-American community.
Obama warned that Donald Trump would have more power to act on his "twisted notions" if elected.
The two last Republican Party nominees for president -- Arizona Sen. John McCain and Mitt Romney -- will unite for a final get-out the vote effort.
And from First Read: Team Clinton breathes sigh of relief, but isn't in the clear yet.
FOR THE RECORD…
"He's an excellent neurosurgeon, but I don't know what happened with the whole political thing."
-- President Obama on Ben Carson.
Hillary Clinton visits North Carolina while Tim Kaine is in Arizona.
Donald Trump hits both Florida and North Carolina. Mike Pence is in Iowa and Pennsylvania.
President Obama campaigns again in Florida.