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The Lid: The Sky High Stakes for Trump in New York

Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos… Two of Donald Trump's kids, Eric and Ivanka, failed to register in time to vote for their dad in the New York primary. Though we are not sure, we assume the punishment will be something along the lines of going to their penthouses and finishing their Trump University homework.

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'16 from 30,000

It was not a great weekend for Donald Trump. The GOP frontrunner got badly outhustled at Saturday's Colorado GOP convention, losing delegates to Ted Cruz and - perhaps more importantly - adding fuel to the narrative that his disorganization and lack of savvy about delegate rules could cost him the Republican nod. But Trump gets a couple of pieces of very good news in our brand-new NBC News/Wall Street Journal/Marist poll, which shows him leading with 54 percent of the vote among the state's GOP primary voters. That's important because, if he wins a majority of the vote in the state next Tuesday, he'd have a good shot at capturing all 95 of New York's GOP delegates next week, a win he badly needs. Another positive talking point from the poll for Trump: fully two-thirds of the state's voters say that Trump should receive the nomination if he has the most delegates going into the convention, even if he doesn't hit the magic 1,237 number.

On the Democratic side, by the way, Hillary Clinton leads Bernie Sanders 55 percent to 41 percent among likely Democratic primary voters.

POPPING ON NBC POLITICS

Our latest NBC/WSJ/Marist poll shows big leads for Trump and Clinton.

NBC's Mark Murray and Marianna Sotomayor have everything you want to know about superdelegates. (But were afraid to ask.)

Two of Donald Trump's kids won't be voting for him in the New York GOP primary. Because, well, they forgot to register.

New York is the first in a series of upcoming "closed primaries," which allow only registered Democrats to participate - and that could create a major problem for Bernie Sanders, MSNBC's Alex Seitz-Wald reports.

Donald Trump has benefited from the Republican Party's delegate rules far more than Ted Cruz has, NBC's Ari Melber found.

FOR THE RECORD…

"They feel very, very guilty."

  • Donald Trump, on his children Eric and Ivanka Trump, who failed to register in time to vote for their dad in New York's GOP primary

TOMORROW'S SKED

Hillary Clinton holds a roundtable on pay equality in New York City, while Sanders campaigns in Rochester and Poughkeepsie.

John Kasich speaks about the "two paths" facing America in an address in New York City.

Donald Trump is in Utica, New York.