Iowa Caucus Results
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Democratic Entrance Poll Highlights
Entrance and exit polls are representative samples of voters taken before they enter (entrance poll, used for caucuses) or after they leave (exit poll, used for primaries) their voting place. This data is used to understand who voted for whom and why they did so.
Profile of Voters for Each Candidate
Winners and Losers Within Groups
Republican Entrance Poll Highlights
Entrance and exit polls are representative samples of voters taken before they enter (entrance poll, used for caucuses) or after they leave (exit poll, used for primaries) their voting place. This data is used to understand who voted for whom and why they did so.
Profile of Voters for Each Candidate
Winners and Losers Within Groups
Iowa Democratic Caucus Entrance Polls
VOTER CHARACTERISTICS AND ATTITUDES | Leader | Clinton | O'Malley | Sanders | Uncommitted | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male 43% of voters | Sanders +6 | 44 | 3 | 50 | 3 |
Female 57% | Clinton +11 | 53 | 3 | 42 | 2 | |
Age | 17-29 18% of voters | Sanders +70 | 14 | 2 | 84 | 1 |
30-44 19% | Sanders +21 | 37 | 2 | 58 | 3 | |
45-64 36% | Clinton +23 | 58 | 4 | 35 | 3 | |
65 or over 28% | Clinton +43 | 69 | 3 | 26 | 1 | |
Race | White 91% of voters | Clinton +3 | 49 | 3 | 46 | 2 |
Black 3% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Hispanic/Latino 4% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Other 2% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Education | High school or less 18% of voters | Clinton +19 | 58 | 0 | 39 | 2 |
Some college/assoc. degree 32% | Sanders +10 | 42 | 4 | 52 | 1 | |
College graduate 27% | Tie | 48 | 2 | 48 | 2 | |
Postgraduate study 23% | Clinton +14 | 53 | 4 | 39 | 4 | |
Education | More than high school graduate 82% of voters | Tie | 47 | 4 | 47 | 2 |
High school graduate or less 18% | Clinton +19 | 58 | 0 | 39 | 2 | |
Education by race | White college graduates 45% of voters | Clinton +5 | 50 | 2 | 45 | 3 |
White non-college graduates 46% | Sanders +1 | 47 | 3 | 48 | 2 | |
Non White college graduates 4% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Non White non-college graduates 4% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
2015 total family income: | Under $30,000 18% of voters | Sanders +16 | 41 | 1 | 57 | 2 |
$30,000 - $49,999 23% | Sanders +3 | 47 | 2 | 50 | 1 | |
$50,000 - $99,999 38% | Clinton +6 | 50 | 4 | 44 | 2 | |
$100,000 or more 20% | Clinton +18 | 55 | 4 | 37 | 4 | |
Before today, had you ever attended an Iowa Democratic presidential caucus? | Yes, I attended a caucus before 56% of voters | Clinton +24 | 59 | 4 | 35 | 2 |
No, this is my first caucus 44% | Sanders +22 | 37 | 2 | 59 | 2 | |
No matter which caucus you attend today, do you usually think of yourself as a: | Democrat 78% of voters | Clinton +17 | 56 | 3 | 39 | 2 |
Republican 2% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Independent or something else 20% | Sanders +43 | 26 | 1 | 69 | 4 | |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Very liberal 28% of voters | Sanders +19 | 39 | 1 | 58 | 2 |
Somewhat liberal 40% | Clinton +6 | 50 | 3 | 44 | 2 | |
Moderate 28% | Clinton +23 | 58 | 4 | 35 | 3 | |
Conservative 4% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Are you currently married? | Yes 60% of voters | Clinton +19 | 56 | 4 | 37 | 3 |
No 40% | Sanders +20 | 38 | 2 | 58 | 1 | |
Gender by marital status | Married men 27% of voters | Clinton +11 | 52 | 4 | 41 | 3 |
Married women 33% | Clinton +26 | 60 | 3 | 34 | 2 | |
Non-married men 16% | Sanders +36 | 30 | 2 | 66 | 2 | |
Non-married women 25% | Sanders +10 | 43 | 2 | 53 | 1 | |
Does anyone in your household belong to a labor union? | Yes 21% of voters | Clinton +9 | 52 | 3 | 43 | 3 |
No 79% | Clinton +1 | 48 | 3 | 47 | 2 | |
Which ONE of these four issues is the most important facing the country? | Health care 30% of voters | Clinton +21 | 59 | 1 | 38 | 2 |
Economy/Jobs 33% | Clinton +9 | 51 | 4 | 42 | 3 | |
Terrorism 6% | Clinton +37 | 65 | 5 | 28 | 2 | |
Income inequality 27% | Sanders +27 | 34 | 3 | 61 | 2 | |
Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding whom to support today? | Can win in November 20% of voters | Clinton +60 | 77 | 2 | 17 | 4 |
Cares about people like me 26% | Sanders +52 | 22 | 3 | 74 | 2 | |
Honest and trustworthy 24% | Sanders +73 | 10 | 5 | 83 | 2 | |
Has the right experience 28% | Clinton +79 | 88 | 2 | 9 | 1 | |
Who would you trust to handle health care? | Only Clinton 26% of voters | Clinton +93 | 96 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Only Sanders 24% | Sanders +95 | 1 | 2 | 97 | 1 | |
Both of them 47% | Clinton +5 | 49 | 3 | 44 | 3 | |
Neither of them 1% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Who do you think shares your values? | Only Clinton 16% of voters | Clinton +91 | 94 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
Only Sanders 25% | Sanders +94 | 1 | 2 | 96 | 0 | |
Both of them 56% | Clinton +24 | 59 | 3 | 35 | 3 | |
Neither of them 2% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
Who do you think shares your values? | Only Clinton or both of them 72% of voters | Clinton +39 | 67 | 3 | 28 | 2 |
Only Sanders or neither of them 26% | Sanders +90 | 2 | 3 | 93 | 1 | |
Who do you think shares your values? | Only Sanders or both of them 81% of voters | Sanders +13 | 41 | 3 | 54 | 2 |
Only Clinton or neither of them 18% | Clinton +80 | 87 | 4 | 7 | 3 | |
Should the next president: | Generally continue Barack Obama's policies 55% of voters | Clinton +42 | 68 | 4 | 26 | 2 |
Change to more liberal policies 33% | Sanders +55 | 21 | 2 | 76 | 2 | |
Change to less liberal policies 7% | Sanders +7 | 43 | 3 | 50 | 3 | |
When did you finally decide whom to support in today's caucus? | Just today 7% of voters | Clinton +3 | 45 | 1 | 42 | 13 |
In the last few days 9% | Tie | 46 | 6 | 46 | 2 | |
Sometime last week 6% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | |
In the last month 18% | Sanders +16 | 41 | 2 | 57 | - | |
Before that 59% | Clinton +12 | 54 | 3 | 42 | 1 | |
Time of Decision | This month 40% of voters | Sanders +8 | 43 | 3 | 51 | 3 |
Earlier than that 59% | Clinton +12 | 54 | 3 | 42 | 1 | |
Population | City over 50,000 32% of voters | Sanders +4 | 46 | 3 | 50 | 2 |
Suburbs 24% | Clinton +13 | 53 | 4 | 40 | 3 | |
Small city and Rural 44% | Clinton +5 | 50 | 2 | 45 | 2 | |
Region | Eastern Cities 27% of voters | Tie | 48 | 2 | 48 | 2 |
East Central 19% | Clinton +3 | 50 | 2 | 47 | 2 | |
Des Moines Area 26% | Clinton +10 | 51 | 5 | 41 | 3 | |
Central 16% | Clinton +5 | 50 | 3 | 45 | 2 | |
West 13% | Tie | 47 | 4 | 47 | 2 |
Iowa Republican Caucus Entrance Polls
VOTER CHARACTERISTICS AND ATTITUDES | Leader | Bush | Carson | Christie | Cruz | Fiorina | Huckabee | Kasich | Paul | Rubio | Santorum | Trump | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gender | Male 52% of voters | Cruz +4 | 2 | 8 | 2 | 29 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 25 |
Female 48% | Cruz +3 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 21 | 1 | 24 | |
Age | 17-29 12% of voters | Cruz +3 | 1 | 10 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
30-44 16% | Cruz +9 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 0 | 22 | |
45-64 46% | Cruz +3 | 2 | 10 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 1 | 25 | |
65 or over 27% | Cruz +1 | 5 | 10 | 1 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 26 | |
Race | White 97% of voters | Cruz +4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 23 | 1 | 24 |
Black 0% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Hispanic/Latino 2% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Other 1% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Education | High school or less 16% of voters | Trump +4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 18 | 1 | 32 |
Some college/assoc. degree 33% | Cruz +6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 26 | |
College graduate 33% | Rubio +1 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 22 | |
Postgraduate study 19% | Rubio +6 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 1 | 20 | |
Education | More than high school graduate 84% of voters | Cruz +4 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 1 | 23 |
High school graduate or less 16% | Trump +4 | 4 | 10 | 0 | 28 | 1 | 1 | - | 4 | 18 | 1 | 32 | |
Education by race | White college graduates 50% of voters | Rubio +4 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 22 |
White non-college graduates 47% | Cruz +4 | 3 | 10 | 1 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 2 | 27 | |
Non White college graduates 2% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Non White non-college graduates 2% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Before today, had you ever attended an Iowa Republican presidential caucus? | Yes, I attended a caucus before 54% of voters | Cruz +8 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 24 | 1 | 19 |
No, this is my first caucus 45% | Trump +7 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 23 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 22 | 1 | 30 | |
No matter which caucus you attend today, do you usually think of yourself as a: | Democrat 2% of voters | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Republican 79% | Cruz +5 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 30 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 1 | 25 | |
Independent or something else 20% | Tie | 2 | 11 | 1 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 22 | 2 | 22 | |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Very conservative 40% of voters | Cruz +23 | 1 | 9 | 1 | 44 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 2 | 21 |
Somewhat conservative 45% | Rubio +5 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 1 | 24 | |
Moderate 14% | Trump +6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 28 | - | 34 | |
Liberal 1% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
On most political matters, do you consider yourself: | Conservative 85% of voters | Cruz +8 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 31 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 1 | 23 |
Moderate or liberal 15% | Trump +6 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 6 | 27 | - | 33 | |
Would you describe yourself as a born-again or evangelical Christian? | Yes 64% of voters | Cruz +12 | 1 | 12 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 22 |
No 36% | Trump +3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 29 | |
White evangelical | White evangelical or white born-again Christian 62% of voters | Cruz +12 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 33 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 21 | 1 | 21 |
All others 38% | Trump +3 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 26 | 1 | 29 | |
Which ONE of these four issues is the most important facing the country? | Immigration 13% of voters | Trump +10 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 34 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 0 | 44 |
Economy/Jobs 27% | Rubio +6 | 4 | 9 | 2 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 30 | 1 | 24 | |
Terrorism 25% | Cruz +7 | 1 | 8 | 2 | 33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 21 | |
Government spending 32% | Cruz +6 | 3 | 11 | 1 | 27 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 1 | 19 | |
Which ONE of these four candidate qualities mattered most in deciding whom to support today? | Can win in November 21% of voters | Rubio +20 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 44 | 1 | 24 |
Shares my values 42% | Cruz +17 | 4 | 15 | 1 | 38 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 21 | 2 | 5 | |
Tells it like it is 14% | Trump +55 | 1 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 66 | |
Can bring needed change 21% | Trump +8 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 25 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 1 | 33 | |
Would you like the next president to: | Have experience in politics 46% of voters | Rubio +4 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 35 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 39 | 1 | 3 |
Be from outside the political establishment 48% | Trump +26 | 1 | 17 | 0 | 20 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 46 | |
Which best describes your feelings about the way the federal government is working? | Enthusiastic 3% of voters | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Satisfied, but not enthusiastic 5% | Not enough data | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | |
Dissatisfied, but not angry 49% | Cruz +1 | 3 | 11 | 2 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 25 | 1 | 21 | |
Angry 42% | Cruz +2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 1 | 30 | |
Which best describes your feelings about the way the federal government is working? | Enthusiastic or satisfied 8% of voters | Rubio +17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 6 | 35 | - | 16 |
Dissatisfied or angry 91% | Cruz +4 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 1 | 25 | |
Did anyone personally contact you about coming out today to support your candidate? | Yes 36% of voters | Cruz +8 | 3 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 23 |
No 62% | Cruz +1 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 24 | 1 | 25 | |
When did you finally decide whom to support in today's caucus? | Just today 16% of voters | Rubio +6 | 3 | 13 | 3 | 22 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 2 | 15 |
In the last few days 19% | Rubio +4 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 27 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 1 | 13 | |
Sometime last week 10% | Cruz +9 | 2 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 27 | 1 | 13 | |
In the last month 20% | Cruz +5 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 27 | 1 | 23 | |
Before that 35% | Trump +13 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 39 | |
Time of Decision | This month 65% of voters | Cruz +1 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 29 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 1 | 16 |
Earlier than that 35% | Trump +13 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 26 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 13 | 1 | 39 | |
Population | City over 50,000 20% of voters | Rubio +4 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 24 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 1 | 23 |
Suburbs 36% | Cruz +3 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 28 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 25 | 1 | 22 | |
Small city and Rural 44% | Cruz +2 | 2 | 12 | 1 | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 1 | 27 | |
Region | Eastern Cities 22% of voters | Cruz +1 | 3 | 8 | 2 | 26 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 25 | 1 | 23 |
East Central 17% | Cruz +6 | 2 | 9 | 1 | 32 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 1 | 26 | |
Des Moines Area 27% | Rubio +2 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 26 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 1 | 21 | |
Central 18% | Cruz +6 | 2 | 10 | 1 | 31 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 25 | |
West 16% | Trump +4 | 1 | 14 | 1 | 25 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 2 | 29 |
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Primaries Results
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- DC Washington D.C. 3/12 - REP, 6/14 - DEM
- WY Wyoming 3/12 - REP, 4/9 - DEM
- FL Florida 3/15 - DEM, REP
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- MO Missouri 3/15 - DEM, REP
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- OR Oregon 5/17 - DEM, REP
- CA California 6/7 - DEM, REP
- MT Montana 6/7 - DEM, REP
- NJ New Jersey 6/7 - DEM, REP
- NM New Mexico 6/7 - DEM, REP
- SD South Dakota 6/7 - DEM, REP
- IA Iowa 2/1 - DEM, REP
- NH New Hampshire 2/9 - DEM, REP
- NV Nevada 2/20 - DEM, 2/23 - REP
- SC South Carolina 2/20 - REP, 2/27 - DEM
- AL Alabama 3/1 - DEM, REP
- AK Alaska 3/1 - REP, 3/26 - DEM
- AS A. Samoa 3/1 - DEM, 3/22 - REP
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- KY Kentucky 3/5 - REP, 5/17 - DEM
- LA Louisiana 3/5 - DEM, REP
- ME Maine 3/5 - REP, 3/6 - DEM
- NE Nebraska 3/5 - DEM, 5/10 - REP
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- HI Hawaii 3/8 - REP, 3/26 - DEM
- ID Idaho 3/8 - REP, 3/22 - DEM
- MI Michigan 3/8 - DEM, REP
- MS Mississippi 3/8 - DEM, REP
- VI Virgin Islands 3/10 - REP, 6/4 - DEM
- GU Guam 3/12 - REP, 5/7 - DEM
- MP N. Mariana Is. 3/12 - DEM, 3/15 - REP
- DC Washington D.C. 3/12 - REP, 6/14 - DEM
- WY Wyoming 3/12 - REP, 4/9 - DEM
- FL Florida 3/15 - DEM, REP
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- MO Missouri 3/15 - DEM, REP
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- UT Utah 3/22 - DEM, REP
- WA Washington 3/26 - DEM, 5/24 - REP
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- SD South Dakota 6/7 - DEM, REP