Jansing and Co   |  September 27, 2012

Money: Who’s getting it and who’s not

Some candidates will get much needed financial resources, others face the chopping block. It’s crunch time for Congressional incumbents seeking re-election and they’re fighting for a lifeline from the national party committees. Roll Call’s Shira Toeplitz discusses.

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This content comes from Closed Captioning that was broadcast along with this program.

>>> it is crunch time for congressional candidates as they clamor for some money from national party committees. here's what's at stake. the democrats congressional campaign committee has reserved more than $61 million in airtime across 41 districts through election day . republicans have set aside nearly $44 million in 35 districts . joining me now, rolle call's sheer a. good to see you.

>> good morning to you, too.

>> this is what you call triage time. explain that.

>> yeah. absolutely. a party has been harvesting financial resources for the entire cycle and they've put to it all these media markets but the races change really quickly over the last two months of the campaign. so party committees right now look over polling data, they look over candidates, they look over the trends and the races to figure out which ones are going to be worth their resources in these last pivotal weeks and which ones are not, which races and which candidates and sometimes incumbents are on the chopping block .

>> sometimes the most fascinating race is todd akin , of course, the republican who made those controversial comments about rape. and, you know, the republican party was calling for him to step down. he got of a phone call from paul ryan . and yet he stuck in. part of the calculation seemed to be once they realize i'm not going anywhere, they're going to give me money because they still want to have the opportunity to beat claire mccaskill . could that pay off? it.

>> could pay off in the long run. initially, cross roads , the big republican super pac, and the nrc, republicans campaign on, they pulled their money from that race after todd akin made those comments. they said we're not spending on this guy. they saw it as hopeless or a move to force hip out of the race. now that the deadline has passed for akin to get off the ballot, senate republicans released a statement yesterday saying they're somewhat reconsidering. i think if this is a close race a couple weeks out from election day i wouldn't be surprised if you saw conservative groups go in there and start spending on his behalf. a senate seat is a senate seat.

>> you also mentioned larry kissle of north carolina . how does that look?

>> since north carolina republicans redrew the lines in that state they drew him a really difficult district. his re-election prospects are always somewhat hopeless. what we've seen in the last couple of weeks, house democrats have started pooling their ad buys one week at a time from that district in these pivotal weeks in october. so it doesn't look like larry kissell right now is going to get a lot of help.

>> national republican operatives have been privately concede that congressman joe walsh of illinois would lose his re-election bid p he's running against iraq war veteran tammy duckworth . is that more competitive?

>> there are some signs. the national republican congressional committee , the house republican campaign arm, bout a lot of cable time just yesterday in areas that are included in the eighth district where joe walsh is seeking re-election. so we're seeing some hints at roll call and internal polls floating around that this race could be competitive. still not sure it's very competitive yet and certainly a t lot of other races in illinois that are competitive but it's rising.

>> it's one that a lot of people are watching. so give us the inside scoop. ho el s who else are you looking at that could be facing the chopping block ?

>> let's go to florida. davidive air a, he's had a lot of ethical issues. really brutal stories in the miami herald this week. national republicans have not reserved any time there at all. they just pulled out of that race this week. to me, it's a question of whether national republicans will see this as enough of a race to invest. my guess is no. i don't think you will see any national dollars spent there in the end. the democratic side, i would watch for john in massachusetts. the massachusetts is a true blue state. john tierney has had ethical problems of his own.

>> it was a fascinating article. glad you could come on and talk about it. thanks so much, shira.

>> thank you.