Demographic impact on the campaigns

>>> one note about this, and the demographics, mike murphy , they both have models of what the electorate will look like. is it as white as it used to be? is it more nonwhite? this could decide the race.

>> it's more nonwhite. and that's why colorado is tough. nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they haven't had the $200 million of negative ads. so romney 's numbers are better there in a lot of the states where they have trench warfare.

>> people may not believe this, but there is a morning after this race, tom and savannah. and what happens in washington after that? david brooks in his column writes about the fiscal cliff which happens at the end of this year, big tax increases and also cuts. here's what he writes. the bottom line is this. if obama wins, he'll probably get small bore stacis. if romney wins, we are more likely to get reform. romney is more flexible than obama . he has more influence in washington. he is more likely to get big stuff done. savannah, this is a questikey question.

>> it is. and the president has banked on the fact that the election will solve these issues, litigate the issues of whether the bush tax breaks should be rolled back for the wealthiest of americans. when he caved on that, he said he will answer this two years later with the election. he is also banking on the fact that the republicans will want to work with him after the election. especially when you look at the makeup of congress not likely to change. we'll have the same set of circumstances potentially if obama wins, and yet he is promising that the fever will break post-election. he's got a lot riding on it.

>> i think it's going to be a status quo election. and i think if romney wins, for example, he still is looking at a house of representatives that has a very considerable tea party presence in it. the tea party people are not going to go away. it's an insurgency. it's out there. it has more power than its numbers in many ways, which we have learned as they exercised that power very effectively when they choose to. and what we don't know about him as president of the united states is just how nimble he can be. we have seen him as a candidate. and he kind of is a linear candidate. he kind of walks down one road. but does he have the flexibility to move and to be political and to strong arm people and to adapt to the current conditions? that's the unknown about mitt romney as president in my judgment.

>> here is the cover of "parade" magazine with joe and mika on the cover. hey, mr. president, how is it that you actually govern? so you're focused on this question as well, joe.

>> i am. and we talk about bipartisan in "parade" this week, and you showed the picture of mika staring at me and not backhanding me. i think that's a positive step forward. she practices restraint every day. so if you look at that picture, it looks like she's about to haul off and hit me. i think that's a good sign not only for " morning joe " but for america.

>> i really believe that is the great undercurrent in the country. they want them to work together.

>> yes.

>> and there's been no indication whatsoever in this campaign that they are prepared to do that. and that's what frustrates everybody, and that's what leads me to the idea that it's a very negative campaign . because it doesn't address what the country wants, republican, democrat, or independent. if we get together on main street , you have to get together on