Chuck Todd breaks down the last few days

>>> we are back, and we go back now to chuck todd at his command center with the numbers and the maps. chuck, i'm interested in the route to 270 for both candidates. we'll get to that in a minute. what do the final schedules tell us about where these campaigns think they are?

>> you know how i feel. i think the schedules are more accurate sometimes than the polling itself. here is the president's final two days. today it's offense. florida , new hampshire , colorado. but he also goes to ohio . in fact, the last couple of days ohio has been like an airline hub for air force one. but more intriguing to me is where the president is spending monday. monday it's firewall day. that's his final day on the trail, and it's ohio , wisconsin , and iowa . and let me show you the mitt romney schedule. also the same feeling, if you will. today, it's offense day. he's trying to go into pennsylvania . that's kind of an insurance policy , if you will. if ohio doesn't go well. but he also hits ohio today. and iowa today. but what's interesting is his monday, david. also feels defensive, if you will. it's florida , it's virginia, it's new hampshire . why? he needs those three states plus either ohio or pennsylvania in order to get to his magic number .

>> all right. so what's the route that they like to get to 270? start with the president.

>> well, i'm going to give you the simplest routes for both of them. and for the president, it's that midwestern firewall. p pennsylvania here. i think they believe that's in their case. so if that's the case and you give the firewall to the president, you see iowa is a luxury here. he is either at 271 before you put iowa there if you put ohio and wisconsin . watch the numbers here if you will. now, the simplest way for mitt romney , florida and virginia. it also means new hampshire . it also means colorado. and then if he is putting pennsylvania in play, it's one of these states. if you look here, that's the importance of pennsylvania . wisconsin might be enough. he could lose ohio , iowa , and pennsylvania and get there. the problem is, wisconsin is looking like a state of the same day registration state. if you look at it that way, he needs one of these others. in ohio , if you believe the two-point race there, that would put him over. so that's why what explains if you will, david, where romney is going to pennsylvania because if you only -- if you take away pennsylvania , he only has two routes and ohio and wisconsin both seem to be a little where he's behind.

>> chuck todd , thank you so much.