Wall Street managed a moderate gain in the final session of a dismal first quarter Monday, but stock prices and the major indexes still ended the first three months of 2007 with massive losses, the casualties of the still continuing credit crisis. The Standard & Poor’s 500 index, the benchmark for many widely held investments such as mutual funds, suffered a loss for the quarter of nearly 10 percent.
The blip upward came from a better than expected reading in the Chicago Purchasing Managers Index, which is considered a precursor to the Institute for Supply Management’s manufacturing survey on Tuesday. The index rose to 48.2 in March from 44.5 a month earlier; economists had been expecting a reading of 47.3, according to Dow Jones Newswires. Though the number topped forecasts, a figure below 50 nonetheless indicates a contraction in manufacturing activity.
The market’s reaction, however, was likely not as enthusiastic as it might seem from Monday’s gains by the major indexes. Volume was light, which tends to skew price movements.
It was a difficult quarter on Wall Street, with financial companies’ ongoing credit market losses and the flagging economy wiping out many investors’ appetite for stocks. While the market saw a number of up days during the quarter, the overall trend was sharply lower, with reports of asset write-downs and shaky financial companies pummeling the market — in particular, the near-collapse of Bear Stearns & Cos. in mid-March.
Investors didn’t have a stong reaction Monday to a government plan to overhaul the way Wall Street is regulated. The 218-page plan would give the Federal Reserve increased power to protect the stability of the entire financial system while merging day-to-day supervision of banks into one agency, down from five under the existing system.
Scott Wren, senior equity strategist for A.G. Edwards & Sons, said many investors appeared to be awaiting economic data due this week on the manufacturing and service sectors as well as employment. Investors are prepared for weak economic data, he said, but could become unnerved if there is unwelcome corporate news.
“The market is already pricing in a ton of bad economic news. Bad economic news is not going to drive the market. What’s going to drive the market is headline news,” he said.
On the last day of the quarter, the Dow Jones industrial average rose 46.49, or 0.38 percent, to 12,262.89.
Broader stock indicators also rose. The S&P 500 index advanced 7.48, or 0.57 percent, to 1,322.70, and the Nasdaq composite index rose 17.92, or 0.79 percent, to 2,279.10.
Advancing issues outnumbered decliners by about 3 to 2 on the New York Stock Exchange, where volume came to 1.58 billion shares compared with 1.35 billion shares traded Friday.
When investors open their quarterly brokerage account or 401(k) statements, what they see will be painful. For the quarter, the Dow fell 7.55 percent, the victim of a series of triple-digit plunges. The S&P 500 declined 9.92 percent, while the Nasdaq, whose smaller company stocks are seen as more vulnerable to economic problems, fell 14.07 percent.
Many analysts have suggested that the market has been seeking a bottom in recent weeks. But it will take some time — and a long period of at least stable trading — before anyone can feel secure that Wall Street is ready to resume an upward track.
One reason for the uneasiness is that many on Wall Street expected the first quarter to be much stronger for stocks than it turned out to be. The theory was that big financial firms had taken their hits in the final three months of 2007. However, as the first quarter has shown, the fallout from investments in risky and ultimately worthless mortgage-backed securities has continued along with the uncertainty in the credit markets.
The Federal Reserve, with a series of interest rate cuts and steps to make more credit available to banks and investment houses, helped restore some sense of calm to the Street. However, worries about recession and the health of consumers have also undermined the market’s attempts to recover, as as recently as last week, bad economic news sent stocks tumbling.
The dollar was mixed against other major currencies, while light, sweet crude fell $4.04 to settle at $101.58 on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Gold fell $14.40 to finish at $916.20 an ounce on the Nymex.
Bond prices rose. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which moves opposite its price, fell to 3.43 percent from 3.45 percent late Friday.
Merck & Co. fell $6.56, or 15 percent, to $37.95 and Schering-Plough Inc. declined $5.06, or 26 percent, to $15.41 after medical researchers said the companies’ joint cholesterol drug, Vytorin, failed to improve heart disease. The researchers’ findings, published by the New England Journal of Medicine, urged a return to more established treatments for cholesterol. Merck is one of the 30 stocks that comprise the Dow industrials and, as a result, dragged on the blue chips.
Citigroup Inc. rose 59 cents, or 2.8 percent, to $21.42 after announcing plans to split its consumer banking unit from its credit card business as part of a broader reorganization to cut costs and simplify the large financial institution’s structure. The company suffered billions of dollars in losses from investments in poor-quality mortgages.
The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies rose 4.79, or 0.70 percent, to 687.97.
Overseas, Japan’s Nikkei stock average fell 2.30 percent. Britain’s FTSE 100 closed up 0.16 percent, Germany’s DAX index fell 0.38 percent, and France’s CAC-40 rose 0.24 percent.