What if geeks picked this Sunday's winners at the 64th Primetime Emmy Awards in Los Angeles? The results could be quite different than the current expert and fan picks.
Here's a look at this year's Emmy favorites based on prediction from GoldDerby, an online betting site for TV and movies, compared with TechNewsDaily's top geek picks from this year's nominations.
In the outstanding comedy series category, the favorite of experts, editors and users on GoldDerby is "Modern Family," with odds to win at 8 to 15. But true geeks appreciate the dry humor of "Curb Your Enthusiasm," starring Larry David, the co-creator of "Seinfeld," as himself. The dialogue focuses on David's frequent faux pas and impatience with other people's behavior. It's the longest running show, now in its 12th season, among the nominees and continues to entertain its appreciative geek audience.
The runaway favorite for Outstanding Drama Series on GoldDerby is "Mad Men," with 10 to 9 odds of winning. The 1960s-era drama may have some peripheral interest for geeks — tech relics occasionally make an appearance — but there's far too little action for those who grew up on the role-playing video game "Baldur's Gate." Geeks would crown " Game of Thrones ," a fantasy action show based on George R. R. Martin's book by the same name, the drama series winner. Sadly, odds are not in its favor at 33 to 1.
GoldDerby predicts "Game Change" will win the award for Outstanding Miniseries or Movie, and no other nominee comes close. "Game Change" is an HBO production about John McCain's 2008 presidential campaign and his selection of Sarah Palin as his running mate. To the mind of a 20-something computer nerd, what could be interesting about old people who lost?
Running against "Game Change" is "American Horror Story," the tale of a family who moves into a haunted mansion in Los Angeles. Like the components of a video game, it's got mayhem, murder and the supernatural. But at 15 to 2 odds of winning, it's a long shot.
For Outstanding Reality Program, GoldDerby predicts "Jamie Oliver's Food Revolution," a show devoted to reforming American eating habits, to win with odds of 6 to 5. Geek classic "MythBusters" is running a fourth at 13 to 2 odds. The GoldDerby experts said, "MythBusters may be considered too lightweight to win." But geeks could argue that the MythBusters episode "Duct Tape Island," where a bag of the adhesive was used to survive on a deserted island, tops eating more vegetables.
As for Outstanding Reality Competition, geeks usually don't dance in sequins and don't sew clothes with sequins. They don't care whether or not you can dance or outfit anorexic models. Geeks abstain from voting on this category.