Who will win Best Picture at the 2018 Oscars? This algorithm is a great predictor

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The weeks leading up to the Academy Awards are full of speculation about who will win: critics’ picks, Oscar pools, armchair analysis from both reporters and fans. But an impressive computer program has predicted the major Oscar winners with remarkable accuracy in recent years – using one relatively simple algorithm. It uses a “discrete choice model” to predict winners in the four major Oscars categories: Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, and Best Actress.