CHUGACH NATIONAL FOREST, Alaska — Standing on the Spencer Glacier the term “epic” feels appropriate. Especially when you consider getting to this place requires a train ride, paddling across an almost freezing lake and a lift from a helicopter.
But for University of Alaska Fairbanks climate researcher Brian Brettschneider, the remarkable view is overshadowed by the fact that rising temperatures are chipping away at the breathtaking glacier.
“In 50 years, Alaska has warmed about 4 degrees Fahrenheit — that's enormous, that's epic,” Brettschneider said.
If 4 degrees doesn’t sound like much, consider that the rest of the planet has risen only by 2 degrees in the last 50 years, according to government data. At Spencer Glacier, that extra 2 degrees has been responsible for nearly 12 inches of surface-ice loss every day and the disappearance of some 100 feet off the glacier’s face each year.
July 4, when the temperature climbed to 90 degrees, was the hottest day ever in Anchorage, Alaska, sending residents out to sunbathe and splash in area lakes. Before that, an 85-degree day in 1969 held the record.
But unlike that hot day in 1953, this month’s record is not an anomaly, Brettschneider said. July 2019 is on pace to be the hottest on record in Alaska after record-setting years in 2015, 2016 and 2018.
Starting in the 1990s, Alaska began to set high-temperature records three times as frequently as record lows. By 2015, the rate of high-temperature records tripled to nine times as often.
Just last summer, Matt Szundy, owner of local outfitter Ascending Path, was able to help his guests onto the glacial ice by foot. In only a winter’s time, walk-on access to Spencer Glacier has been halted because of additional melt. Before, visitors used to kayak across a lake to reach the glacier’s face, strap on a pair of crampons and walk onto the ice. Now to see its majesty up close, they must board a helicopter.
The added time, effort and money it takes to reach the glacier has cost Szundy business and illustrates how a changing climate is making some of nature’s most spectacular places less accessible.
Among the ice’s attractions are huge sluices created by running water, melting from the glacier’s surface.
“I love the aesthetic of what melt water creates, it’s fun to guide on, it’s amazing to experience,” Szundy said. “But the cause of it is heartbreaking for me.”
He calls the glacier he’s come to know as his “office” the “canary in the coal mine” for a warming planet.
Alaska’s warmer summer temperatures this year aren’t yet linked to climate change, though the signs are all there, Brettschneider says.
The unusual high-pressure system that’s baked the state has been helped by unusually warm ocean temperatures around Alaska, thanks in part to declining sea ice. Those two factors, added to the well-established long-term warmer weather, have helped make this a record-setting summer.
In addition to the loss of tourism, the consequences of a warmer 49th state are serious. Rising seas have already required the relocation of some remote villages. And broadly, much of Alaska’s infrastructure is designed for the cold. A shift of even a few degrees could threaten the stability of everything from pipelines to roads. The costs could add up to well into the billions.
Alaska’s plight was highlighted Wednesday by a pair of studies that call skepticism about climate change into question, suggesting that the recent warming of the earth is not part of a cycle.
As a visit to Spencer Glacier highlights, Brettschneider points out however fast the change comes, Alaska will feel it first.
“These glaciers have been responsible for a large fraction of the sea level rise that’s already been observed and that will continue. It literally is the tip of the iceberg.”