IE 11 is not supported. For an optimal experience visit our site on another browser.

A wide-open Senate contest in Massachusetts

Getty Images

With John Kerry very likely moving from the Senate to the State Department, attention shifts to Massachusetts, where Elizabeth Warren is suddenly the senior senator from the Bay State, Gov. Deval Patrick (D) will soon appoint a placeholder senator, and positioning is underway for the June special election to succeed Kerry in the chamber.

On the Republican side, defeated Sen. Scott Brown (R) has made little effort to hide his interest in running again, despite his sizable 2012 defeat. In a farewell speech, Brown boasted that he "may obviously meet" his fellow senators again, and he said with a smile that defeat is "temporary." Soon after, the Republican wrote an op-ed emphasizing the importance of "second chances."

What are Brown's chances? A poll this week showed him with a strong, early advantage, but Nate Silver and Dave Weigel have both made compelling arguments that his election is hardly a sure thing.

Among Democrats, the race is likely to be far more competitive and wide open. Most of the recent speculation has focused on Rep. Ed Markey, Rep. Michael Capuano, and Vicki Kennedy, and Ted Kennedy Jr.

Rep. Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.), the only New England Democrat who sided with congressional Republicans against health care reform, has also begun telling allies that he's eyeing the race.