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The Lid: New Poll Shakes Up Dem Race Ahead of Debate

Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos…Jeb Bush said his mother, former First Lady Barbara Bush, has become his biggest supporter a
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Welcome to The Lid, your afternoon dose of the 2016 ethos…Jeb Bush said his mother, former First Lady Barbara Bush, has become his biggest supporter after initially saying the country has “had enough Bushes.” She’s such a fan, in fact, that he doesn’t even need to ask her to “please clap.”

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‘16 from 30,000

Hours before the first one-on-one debate between Hillary Clinton and Bernie Sanders, a brand new NBC News/Wall Street/Marist poll shows the Vermont senator with a whopping 20-point lead in New Hampshire. It leaves no doubt that Sanders is the frontrunner in New Hampshire (though he doesn’t seem to have gotten any significant bump from his narrow loss in Iowa) and means Clinton is facing a much larger gap than she was during her 2008 campaign, when she mounted a surprise comeback victory. Most polling between Iowa and N.H. eight years ago had Obama with around a five to ten point lead among likely voters. So how will it impact tonight’s debate AND how Clinton campaigns in the first-in-the-nation primary state? You can follow all the action on our live blog on nbcnews.com. And be sure to tune into tonight’s debate on MSNBC at 9 p.m. ET.

POPPING ON NBC POLITICS

  • Bernie Sanders maintains a significant double-digit lead over Hillary Clinton in New Hampshire, according to an NBC News/Wall Street/Marist poll conducted after Clinton's narrow apparent win in Monday's Iowa caucuses.
  • From Kelly O’Donnell: Jeb Bush said his mother, former First Lady Barbara Bush, has become his biggest supporter after her now-famous 2013 proclamation on TODAY that the country has “had enough Bushes.
  • Republican presidential candidate Ben Carson is cutting a significant chunk of his staff amid money problems, NBC News confirms.
  • From Alex Jaffe: Documents and records obtained by NBC News suggest that as a visiting professor at Florida International University, he worked less than 10 hours a week and missed three-in-10 classes during his first semester of teaching – all while making more than most part-time visiting professors.
  • In today’s Tales from the Trail: Bill Clinton’s 2016 impact was on clear display while working the ropeline in New Hampshire this week.
  • Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi defended Hillary Clinton’s progressive credentials on Thursday, NBC’s Luke Russert reports.
  • Rick Santorum, Marco Rubio’s newest supporter, struggled to name an accomplishment the Florida senator achieved in Congress.

FOR THE RECORD…

“I marked her down as neutral at that point.”

-- Jeb Bush on his mother’s initial hesitancy about another Bush in the White House.

TOMORROW'S SKED

Clinton, Sanders, Cruz, Rubio, Bush, Kasich, Christie and Fiorina continue to campaign in New Hampshire.

Trump holds a rally in Florence, South Carolina.