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NBC News Exit Poll Desk
16d ago / 11:25 PM UTC
NBC News Exit Poll: No jump in independents or first-time voters in New Hampshire Democratic primary
There was no jump in independents or first-time voters in Tuesday's New Hampshire Democratic primary, according to early results from the NBC News Exit Poll.
There was an expectation that the number of independents participating in this year’s Democratic primary might be higher than previous years, since the Republican contest is not competitive. That does not seem to have happened: 43 percent of primary voters report being registered as undeclared on the voter rolls, which is in line with prior Democratic contests when there were also hotly contested Republican races.
The NBC News Exit Poll also found that 12 percent of voters in the New Hampshire Democratic contest are voting in their first presidential primary, down slightly from four years ago.
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David K. Li
16d ago / 11:15 PM UTC
New Hampshire exit polls: Defeating Trump tops issues for Democratic voters
By a nearly two-to-one margin, New Hampshire voters who cast ballots in Tuesday's Democratic primary said they would rather see a nominee who can beat President Donald Trump in November than one who agrees with them on the issues, according to early data from an NBC News exit poll.
Sixty-two percent of respondents said would rather see a nominee who can beat Trump while 34 percent said that they would prefer one who agrees with them on major issues if they had to choose between the two options.
New Hampshire voters in both parties agree that Trump has emerged from impeachment largely unscathed, the early exit poll data showed.
NBC News Exit Poll: New Hampshire Democratic voters more likely to be female, college graduates
Voters in Tuesday’s New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary are more likely to be female and college graduates than those voting on the Republican side, early results from the NBC News Exit Poll show.
About a third of GOP primary voters are college graduates, a share that jumps to 55 percent on the Democratic side.
Women make up 44 percent of those voting in the Republican primary, but they account for 55 percent of those voting in the Democratic primary.
Compared to Democrats, Republican voters are more than twice as likely to be military veterans.
Sen. Elizabeth Warren’s campaign has released a memo that outlines her path after New Hampshire, saying that the road to the Democratic presidential nomination does not rely on “statewide winner-take-all victories.”
In a lengthy memo released Tuesday afternoon, Warren campaign manager Roger Lau laid out the campaign’s strategy going forward, and the flaws in her opponent — something the candidate herself has shied away from on the trail as she makes a “unity” pitch.
The memo relies heavily on the idea that “the early states deliver mixed results for the field” and “no seismic event” shakes up the top three, assuming that the last three viable candidates in the race as of Super Tuesday will be Biden, Sanders and Warren.
“The road to the Democratic nomination is not paved with statewide winner-take-all victories,” Lau wrote in the memo, which was sent to supporters. “This is a district-by-district contest for pledged delegates awarded proportionally.”
“It's not a straightforward narrative captured by glancing at a map, and the process won't be decided by the simple horse race numbers in clickbait headlines. That's never been our focus — our focus is on building a broad coalition to win delegates everywhere,” Lau wrote.
In the latest RealClearPolitics New Hampshire polling average, Warren (with 11 percent), is trailing Sanders (28.7 percent), Buttigieg (21.3 percent) and Klobuchar (11.7 percent.
Lau, nevertheless, goes on to say that, “We're confident in our plan and our path because we know the truth at the heart of the nomination process.”
“No amount of spin and hyperventilation can change the delegate math, and no amount of money can buy a candidate his way back into this race if he can't play for serious delegates on Super Tuesday,” Lau wrote.
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16d ago / 10:50 PM UTC
Democrats battle for critical New Hampshire vote as polls set to close soon
With polls closing here shortly, Democratic candidates spent the day of New Hampshire's first-in-the-nation primary on Tuesday talking up their candidacies and taking aim at a rival who isn't even on the ballot here — former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg.
Entering primary day, Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., was comfortably leading in the polls, trailed by former South Bend, Indiana Mayor Pete Buttigieg. Behind them was a three-way battle for third place between a surging Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., and former Vice President Joe Biden.
The vote came as last week's Iowa caucus results were being contested. Both Sanders and Buttigieg have claimed victory in the Hawkeye State.
NBC News Exit Poll: Nearly half of New Hampshire Democrats decided in last few days
An unusually large number of New Hampshire Democratic primary voters waited until the final days to settle on a candidate.
Early results from the NBC News Exit Poll show that nearly half say they made up their minds in the last few days, which is higher than the share of late deciders in either 2008 or 2016.
Friday night’s debate seemed to play a critical role for many Democratic voters. Sixteen percent said it was the single most important factor in their decision, and another 32 percent said it was one of several important factors.
NBC News Exit Poll: Most New Hampshire Republicans more loyal to Trump than party
More than half of voters in the New Hampshire Republican primary have greater allegiance to President Donald Trump than the Republican Party, according to early results from the NBC News Exit Poll. When asked to choose between the two, 54 percent picked Trump, while nearly 4 in 10 said they feel more loyal to the GOP.
Still, Republican voters in the Granite State resoundingly endorsed Trump's performance as president:
Nearly 9 in 10 voters in the GOP primary say Trump has kept his campaign promises;
Nearly 9 in 10 also say they are “enthusiastic” or “satisfied” with the Trump administration;
About 8 in 10 support building a wall along the entire Mexican border, Trump’s signature policy proposal; and
Almost all (95 percent) voters in the Republican primary say the national economy is either “excellent” or “good.”
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Lauren Egan and Emma Thorne
16d ago / 10:36 PM UTC
Yang: 'If we had a crystal ball, I definitely would have been hanging out here in New Hampshire'
Entrepreneur Andrew Yang said he regretted spending so much time campaigning in Iowa after their botched caucuses there, and said his time would have been better spent in places like New Hampshire.
“If you had a crystal ball, of course you would have spent less time and energy in Iowa because the muddle coming out of it did not help any of us,” Yang said in an interview with MSNBC's Cal Perry on Tuesday.
“It was a real black eye. So if we had a crystal ball, I definitely would have been hanging out here in New Hampshire or someplace else I was about to vote,” he added.
Yang said that the Democratic primary was like a “playoff,” telling NBC that he needed to beat expectations in New Hampshire Tuesday night.
“It's a little bit like a playoff race where you need to get above the people that are ahead of you in the standings, so we need to climb the ranks," he said. "Right now, we're polling at sixth. We want to get up to fifth, fourth, even third."
Yang, who has built up a loyal following but has failed to break into the top tier of candidates, expressed optimism in the final hours of voting in New Hampshire.
"After tonight's totals come in, we think we'll have a head of steam heading into the next states," he said.
New Hampshire voters in both parties agree that President Donald Trump has emerged from impeachment proceedings largely unscathed, at least when it comes to the 2020 election, early results from the NBC News Exit Poll show.
Less than a quarter of those voting in the Democratic primary said Trump’s impeachment hurt his chances of being re-elected. Most Democrats said impeachment made no difference in Trump’s re-election effort. About two-thirds of GOP voters said impeachment has helped Trump; just 5 percent said it hurt his chances.