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51.8%
44.4%

The NBC News National Polling Average is based on an unweighted average of the 10 most recent publicly released public opinion polls that NBC News deems reliable. An organization’s polls are deemed reliable based on methodology (excluding interactive voice response phone polls and opt-in online polls), past performance and transparency.

Battleground states polling

The latest polls from states with the potential to decide the election.

Latest Polls
Trends
Margin of error: 4.4%
50%45%
07/09-11/02
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 2.0%
52%43%
07/17-10/31
NBC News/Marist10/29-11/01
Margin of error: 4.4%
51%46%
08/31-11/01
All Pennsylvania Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 2.0%
52%45%
07/17-10/31
Margin of error: 4.0%
48%50%
09/15-10/29
Margin of error: 3.2%
47%44%
06/08-10/31
All Florida Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 3.0%
54%41%
07/17-10/31
Margin of error: 3.2%
52%41%
06/08-10/30
Reuters/Ipsos10/27-11/01
Margin of error: 4.0%
53%43%
09/11-11/01
All Wisconsin Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 2.0%
52%45%
07/17-10/31
EPIC-MRA10/25-10/28
Margin of error: 4.0%
48%41%
05/30-10/28
Reuters/Ipsos10/27-11/01
Margin of error: 4.0%
52%42%
09/11-11/01
All Michigan Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 2.0%
49%48%
07/17-10/31
Margin of error: 2.0%
52%47%
09/01-10/31
CNN/SSRS10/23-10/30
Margin of error: 4.0%
51%45%
09/09-10/30
All North Carolina Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Margin of error: 3.0%
49%49%
09/01-10/31
Margin of error: 3.8%
49%43%
09/08-10/26
CBS News/YouGov10/06-10/09
Margin of error: 4.1%
52%46%Not enough data
All Nevada Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 3.0%
48%46%
07/17-10/31
NBC News/Marist10/29-11/01
Margin of error: 4.5%
48%48%
07/14-11/01
Margin of error: 3.0%
49%43%
06/08-10/30
All Arizona Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 3.0%
52%42%
07/17-10/31
Margin of error: 2.5%
55%43%
09/01-10/31
Margin of error: 3.5%
48%42%Not enough data
All Minnesota Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Morning Consult10/22-10/31
Margin of error: 2.0%
49%46%
07/17-10/31
Margin of error: 2.5%
50%48%
09/01-10/31
Margin of error: 4.4%
50%45%
07/23-10/27
All Georgia Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Margin of error: 3.5%
49%50%
09/01-10/31
Margin of error: 3.4%
41%48%
06/07-10/29
Margin of error: 2.8%
46%47%
10/01-10/27
All Iowa Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Margin of error: 4.0%
56%42%
09/01-10/31
Margin of error: 4.4%
51%39%Not enough data
Margin of error: 5.1%
55%38%Not enough data
All Maine Polls
Latest Polls
Trends
Margin of error: 4.5%
52%47%
09/01-10/31
Margin of error: 3.3%
53%45%
07/16-10/28
Margin of error: 4.4%
51%41%Not enough data
All New Hampshire Polls