Dearth of a Salesman: Trump Failed to Persuade on GOP Health Bill
US President Donald J. Trump, along with GOP lawmakers, speaks after the House voted to repeal and replace Obamacare with a Republican version of the health care law in the Rose Garden of the White House in Washington on May 4, 2017. The Republican health care bill may never become law; it next goes to the Senate, where lawmakers will rework the bill and send it back to the House.Jim Lo Scalzo / EPA
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As the famous political scientist Richard Neustadt argued, the only real power that a president holds — especially when it comes to Congress — is the power to persuade. And President Trump barely tried during the GOP’s unsuccessful push on health care. He never held a town-hall meeting on the subject. He never gave a prime-time speech or press conference. And when he hit the road, he spent more time on other subjects than on health care. Ultimately, Trump failed to sell the GOP health care efforts to his own voters.
According to our NBC/WSJ poll looking at the key counties that propelled Trump to the White House, just 12 percent of Americans living in these counties said the House Republican health-care legislation was a good idea. And among Trump voters living in these counties, only 25 percent believed the House bill was a good idea, 16 percent said it was a bad idea, and a whopping 59 percent had no opinion or were unsure. (By comparison, Clinton voters in these same counties were 0 percent good idea, 75 percent bad idea, and 26 percent undecided/unsure. By the way, the numbers here don’t add up to 100 percent because of rounding.) Let us repeat that again: Nearly six-in-10 Trump voters in these key counties said they were UNDECIDED or UNSURE about the House bill.
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On Twitter yesterday, President Trump blamed Democrats, a handful of Republicans, and Senate process for health care’s collapse. But there was another reason he didn’t mention — the stunning lack of presidential leadership. As Trump said in another tweet back in 2013, “Leadership: Whatever happens, you're responsible. If it doesn't happen, you're responsible.” Exactly.
And given the president’s lack of leadership on the Republican Party’s top legislative goal over the last seven years, what does that mean for other agenda items — taxes, the debt limit, even a budget? “Power comes with consequences,” the Washington Post’s Dan Balz writes. “What price, if any, Republicans will pay for this setback will be revealed over the coming months. Perhaps they will be able to move quickly on other priorities — a tax bill being the most appealing now, although not necessarily a slam dunk — and wash away the bitter taste of the health-care debate. That might be the best they can hope for, but there are no guarantees.”
NBC’s Benjy Sarlin: “After six months of twists and turns in Congress, Republican efforts to repeal Obamacare crashed on Tuesday as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell conceded his party lacked the votes to pass a replacement. But that's not the end of the story. There are still significant problems in Obamacare's exchanges to address and a looming political fight in the midterm elections next year. Here are some of the biggest questions going forward for both parties and the White House.”
“President Donald Trump met with Russian President Vladimir Putin a second time during the G-20 summit earlier this month, a White House official confirmed to NBC News Tuesday,” NBC’s Kristen Welker and Ali Vitali report. “Trump spoke to Putin at the end of a couples-only social dinner at the summit in Hamburg, Germany, the official said, reiterating it was a social dinner. Pull-asides are typically less formal than official bilateral meetings, which Trump and Putin also shared. The White House did not previously disclose or offer a record of what was discussed during the meeting, which was first reported by Ian Bremmer, president of the international consulting firm Eurasia Group.”
So what’s the big deal with that? As Michael McFaul, Obama’s former ambassador to Russia, said on “Today” this morning: “Anything a president utters in a meeting like that becomes policy,” especially when the president doesn’t have a note-taker and uses Russia’s translator. “What's strange about this particular meeting ... is that he spoke with just one leader [Putin] for an hour,” McFaul added. Trump responded to this story over Twitter, saying: “Fake News story of secret dinner with Putin is ‘sick.’ All G-20 leaders, and spouses, were invited by the Chancellor of Germany. Press knew.”
A reminder: This NBC/WSJ poll's sample was taken from 439 counties in 16 states — Colorado, Florida, Georgia, Indiana, Iowa, Maine, Michigan, Minnesota, Missouri, Nevada, New Hampshire, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and Wisconsin — that either flipped from Barack Obama to Trump, or where Trump greatly outpaced Mitt Romney's performance in 2012. And as a result, these counties are whiter, older, more rural, and less educated than the national average.
Chuck Todd is moderator of "Meet The Press" and NBC News' political director.
Mark Murray is a senior political editor at NBC News.