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updated 10/2/2006 6:19:29 AM ET 2006-10-02T10:19:29

MSNBC - McClatchy Pennsylvania Poll

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This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from September 22 through September 26, 2006. A total of 625 registered Pennsylvania voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.

Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

If the 2006 election for Governor & Lieutenant Governor were held today, would you vote for:

RENDELL 54%

SWANN 37%

UNDECIDED 10%

If the 2006 election for Pennsylvania’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

CASEY 49%

SANTORUM 40%

OTHER 1%

UNDECIDED 10%

Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:

FOR CANDIDATE 65%

AGAINST OPPONENT 25%

NOT SURE 10%

Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 21%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% (42%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 45% (56%)

NOT SURE 1%

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 0.3%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% (21%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 26%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 42% (68%)

NOT SURE 11%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

IRAQ 22%

TERRORISM/SECURITY 17%

ECONOMY/JOBS 15%

HEALTH CARE 14%

TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 12%

MORAL/FAMILY 9%

OTHER/DK 5%

IMMIGRATION 3%

GAS PRICE/ENERGY 3%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

RIGHT DIRECTION 29%

WRONG TRACK 62%

NOT SURE 9%

Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)

STRONGLY APPROVE 21%

SOMEWHAT APPROVE 16% (37%)

SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 15%

STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 47% (62%)

NOT SURE 1%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq:

SEND MORE 11%

KEEP SAME 23%

WITHDRAW SOME 21%

WITHDRAW ALL 27%

NOT SURE 18%

How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you:

VERY WORRIED 27%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 30% 57%

NOT TOO WORRIED 29%

NOT WORRIED 13% 43%

NOT SURE 0.2%

How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you:

VERY WORRIED 22%

SOMEWHAT WORRIED 47% 69%

NOT TOO WORRIED 21%

NOT WORRIED 9% 31%

NOT SURE 0.3%

Should illegal immigrants working in the United States be:

CHANCE TO STAY 48%

DEPORTED 41%

NOT SURE 11%

In general, which is better for the country?

SAME PARTY 36%

DIVIDED 43%

NOT SURE 21%

Demographics:

What is your current official party voter registration? Are you registered to vote as a:

DEMOCRAT 48%

REPUBLICAN 41%

INDEPENDENT 12%

Would you describe your personal political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or very conservative?

VERY LIBERAL 5%

SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 19%

MODERATE 37%

SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 28%

VERY CONSERVATIVE 9%

DK/REF 2%

What is your age?

18-34 13%

35-49 26%

50-64 33%

65+ 28%

REF 0.3%

Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?

WHITE 87%

BLACK 11%

HISPANIC 1%

OTHER 1%

REFUSED 1%

SEX:

MALE 50%

FEMALE 50%

REGION:

PHILADELPHIA CO 11%

PHILADELPHIA SUBS 21%

NORTHEASTRONGLY PA 17%

CENTRAL PA 16%

WESTERN PA 15%

ALLEGHANY CO 12%

SOUTHWESTRONGLY PA 8%

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