MSNBC - McClatchy MissouriPoll October 2006
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from October 17 through October 19, 2006.
A total of 625 registered Missouri voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.
A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points.
This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
Do you recognize the name ______?
(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
If the 2006 (Senate/Governor) election were held today, would you vote for:
MCCASKILL 46%
TALENT 43%
OTHER 2%
UNDECIDED 9%
Will your vote for (Senate) mainly be:
FOR CANDIDATE 81%
AGAINST OPPONENT 18%
NOT SURE 1%
Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 23%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 22% (TOTAL APPROVE: 45%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 12%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 41% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 53%)
NOT SURE 2%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?
STRONGLY APPROVE 1%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 27% (TOTAL APPROVE: 29%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 23%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 40% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 63%)
NOT SURE 9%
Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT DIRECTION 35%
WRONG TRACK 57%
NOT SURE 9%
Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for Senate this year: (ORDER ROTATED)
IRAQ 22%
TERRORISM/SECURITY 13%
ECONOMY/JOBS 14%
HEALTH CARE 19%
IMMIGRATION 5%
TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 7%
MORAL/FAMILY 16%
GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%
OTHER/DK 3%
In general, do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 17%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 27% (TOTAL APPROVE: 44%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 9%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 40% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 50%)
NOT SURE 6%
What should the U.S. do in Iraq: Send more troops, keep the same number of troops, withdraw some troops, or withdraw all troops?
SEND MORE 18%
KEEP SAME 18%
WITHDRAW SOME 22%
WITHDRAW ALL 26%
NOT SURE 16%
How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? (Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?)
VERY WORRIED 28%
SOMEWHAT WORRIED 37% (TOTAL APPROVE: 65%)
NOT TOO WORRIED 19%
NOT WORRIED 16% (TOTAL DISAPPROVE: 35%)
NOT SURE 0%
How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you very worried, somewhat worried, not too worried, or not at all worried?
VERY WORRIED 20%
SOMEWHAT WORRIED 54% 74%
NOT TOO WORRIED 17%
NOT WORRIED 9% 26%
NOT SURE 0%
Do you think the speaker of the House of Representatives, Dennis Hastert, should step down as
speaker because of the way the Mark Foley issued was handled, or should he remain in his job? (ROTATED)
STEP DOWN 40%
REMAIN 43%
NOT SURE 17%
Which of the following best describes your family's financial situation in the past few years: You have had enough money to maintain your standard of living, or you feel as if you have fallen behind?
HAVE ENOUGH 65%
FALLING BEHIND 34%
NOT SURE 1%
DEMOGRAPHICS:
What is your current official party voter registration? Are you registered to vote as a:
DEMOCRAT 36%
REPUBLICAN 35%
INDEPENDENT 29%
Would you describe your personal political views as liberal, moderate, or conservative?
LIBERAL 18%
MODERATE 42%
CONSERVATIVE 39%
DK/REF 1%
What is your age?
18-34 13%
35-49 29%
50-64 32%
65+ 26%
REF 0%
Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
WHITE 87%
BLACK 10%
HISPANIC 1%
OTHER 0%
REFUSED 1%
SEX:
MALE 49%
FEMALE 52%
REGION:
ST LOUIS COUNTY 26%
ST LOUIS SUBURBS 11%
KANSAS CITY METRO 20%
NORTHERN MO 9%
CENTRAL MO 10%
SOUTHEAST MO 10%
SOUTHWEST MO 14%