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updated 11/5/2006 7:10:42 AM ET 2006-11-05T12:10:42

The Mason-Dixon Tennessee Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from November 1 through November 3, 2006.  A total of 625 registered Tennessee voters were interviewed statewide by telephone.  All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.

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Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers.  A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state.  Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.

The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled.  The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a regional or gender grouping.

Do you recognize the name ______________?

(IF YES) Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?

                                     

          FAVORABLE  UNFAVORABLE  NEUTRAL  DON'T RECOGNIZE

GOVERNOR

Phil Bredesen          61%         12%         24%          3%      

Jim Bryson             30%         16%         41%         13%      

U.S. SENATE

Bob Corker             47%         33%         17%          3%      

Harold Ford, Jr.       39%         44%         15%          2%      

If the 2006 election for Governor were held today, would you vote for:

- Phil Bredesen, Democrat                                              

- Jim Bryson, Republican                                                           

- or, one of the other candidates?

                                        SEX           REGION           PARTY ID

  STATE  MEN  WOMEN  EAST  MIDDLE  WEST  DEM  REP  IND

BREDESEN     61%     60%    62%       56%      63%       64%     87%    36%   63%

BRYSON         26%      29%    23%       30%      24%      24%      4%     51%   19%

OTHER            4%        3%      5%         5%        3%        4%        3%     5%     5%

UNDECIDED    9%       8%     10%        9%       10%       8%        6%      8%    13%


If the 2006 election for Tennessee’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:

- Harold Ford, Democrat

- Bob Corker, Republican                                               

- or, one of the other candidates?

                                        SEX                   REGION                         PARTY ID

  STATE  MEN  WOMEN  EAST  MIDDLE  WEST  DEM  REP  IND

CORKER        50%       52%   48%         61%    47%         39%     6%     91%  47%

FORD             38%       34%   42%         26%    42%         49%     81%   4%    32%

OTHER           3%         3%     3%           4%      3%            2%      4%     1%    6%

UNDECIDED  9%        11%    7%           9%      8%           10%     9%     4%  15%

                         RACE

                          STATE   WHITES   BLACKS

CORKER       50%        58%          2%

FORD            38%        30%          89%

OTHER          3%          3%             -

UNDECIDED  9%         9%            9%

Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:

Iraq                                                                  21%

Health care, including Medicare                  18%

Moral issues & Family values                      17%

Terrorism & Homeland Security                  13%

The Economy & Jobs                                   7%

Immigration                                                    7%

Government Spending & Taxes                  5%

Gas Prices & Energy Policy                        3%

Other/Not Sure                                              9%

Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to the war in Iraq – Bob Corker or Harold Ford?

CORKER                   49%

FORD                         32%

NEITHER/DK 19%

Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to energy and gas prices - Bob Corker or Harold Ford?

CORKER                   43%

FORD                         36%

NEITHER/DK 21%

Who do you feel would do a better job at handling the issues related to the economy - Bob Corker or Harold Ford?

CORKER                   53%

FORD                         34%

NEITHER/DK 13%

How would you rate the performance of George W. Bush as President: excellent, pretty good, only fair, or poor?

                                     SEX                   REGION                         PARTY ID

STATE  MEN  WOMEN  EAST  MIDDLE  WEST  DEM  REP  IND

EXC              15%         17%   13%        21%     9%           14%    2%     26%   17%

GOOD            32%       35%   29%        33%    31%          32%    10%   53%   30%

FAIR               19%       17%   21%        18%    19%          22%    16%   20%   21%

POOR              33%      30%   36%        27%    40%          31%    71%   1%     30%

UNDECIDED 1%        1%     1%           1%     1%            1%      1%      -        2%

Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?

                                    STATE   MEN   WOMEN   DEMS   REPS   INDS

RIGHT             40%      43%    37%          13%      73%      27%

WRONG                     47%      47%    47%          79%      13%      56%

NOT SURE                13%      10%    16%          8%        14%      17%

Do you approve or disapprove of President Bush’s handling of the war in Iraq?

                                                    SEX                     PARTY ID

            STATE   MEN   WOMEN   DEMS   REPS   INDS

APPROVE                  44%      48%    40%          8%         76%     44%

DISAPPROVE           51%      49%    53%          90%       20%     47%

NOT SURE                  5%       3%      7%            2%         4%       9%

What should the U.S. do in Iraq: 

Send more troops                             22%

Keep the same number of troops   19%

Withdraw some troops                     17%

Or, withdraw all troops?                    21%

Not Sure                                             21%

How would you describe the tone of the U.S. Senate campaign between Democrat Harold Ford and Republican Bob Corker?  Is it currently:

1% - Positive, with little or no negative campaigning

7% - Somewhat positive, but with some negative campaigning,

21% - Somewhat negative, but not as negative as most other Tennessee Senate races,

65% - Very negative, as bad as or worse than in other elections.

6% - Not Sure

Who do you feel has run a more negative campaign:

Republican Bob Corker                                           27%

Democrat Harold Ford                                             12%

Or, have both been about equally negative            57%

Not Sure                                                                     4%

Have you seen the television advertisement that mentions Harold Ford’s attendance at a Super Bowl party that featured Playboy bunnies and ends with a blonde-haired woman saying “Harold, call me?”                       

YES                81%

NO                  19%

(IF “YES) Would you describe your opinion of the ad as favorable, unfavorable, or neutral?

FAVORABLE             4%

UNFAVORABLE      67%     

NEUTRAL                  29%

(IF “YES) Would you say that the ad makes you more likely to vote for Bob Corker, more likely to vote for Harold Ford, or does it have no real effect on your vote?

FORD                         10%

CORKER                   23%

NO EFFECT              67%

In terms of your political party identification, do you generally consider yourself a:

DEMOCRAT                                     34%

REPUBLICAN                                   38%

INDEPENDENT OR OTHER           28%

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