MSNBC - McClatchy Virginia Poll
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Research, Inc. of Washington, D.C. from
September 23 through September 27, 2006. A total of 625 registered Virginia voters were interviewed statewide by telephone. All stated they were likely to vote in the November general election.
Those interviewed were selected by the random variation of the last four digits of telephone numbers. A cross-section of exchanges was utilized in order to ensure an accurate reflection of the state. Quotas were assigned to reflect voter turn-out by county.
The margin for error, according to standards customarily used by statisticians, is no more than plus or minus 4 percentage points. This means that there is a 95 percent probability that the "true" figure would fall within that range if the entire population were sampled. The margin for error is higher for any subgroup, such as a gender or regional grouping.
Do you have a favorable, unfavorable or neutral opinion of ________?
If the 2006 election for Virginia’s U.S. Senate seat were held today, would you vote for:
WEBB 43%
ALLEN 43%
PARKER 2%
UNDECIDED 12%
Will your vote for U.S. Senate mainly be:
FOR CANDIDATE 64%
AGAINST OPPONENT 35%
NOT SURE 2%
Do you approve or disapprove of George W. Bush’s overall job performance as President? (Is that, strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 24%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 18% (42%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 16%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 41% (57%)
NOT SURE 1%
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is handling its job? (Is that, strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 1%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 21% 21%
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 32%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 37% 69%
NOT SURE 10%
Which ONE of the following issues will be MOST important in determining your vote for U.S. Senate this year:
IRAQ 23%
TERRORISM/SECURITY 19%
ECONOMY/JOBS 16%
HEALTH CARE 10%
IMMIGRATION 9%
TAXES/GOVT SPNDG 9%
MORAL/FAMILY 8%
GAS PRICE/ENERGY 1%
OTHER/DK 5%
Generally speaking, would you say things in the country are heading in the right direction, or are they are off on the wrong track?
RIGHT DIRECTION 29%
WRONG TRACK 57%
NOT SURE 14%
Do you approve or disapprove of the Bush administration’s policies in Iraq? (Is that strongly approve/disapprove or somewhat approve/disapprove?)
STRONGLY APPROVE 17%
SOMEWHAT APPROVE 19% (36%)
SOMEWHAT DISAPPROVE 20%
STRONGLY DISAPPROVE 42% (62%)
NOT SURE 2%
What should the U.S. do in Iraq:
SEND MORE 26%
KEEP SAME 19%
WITHDRAW SOME 21%
WITHDRAW ALL 20%
NOT SURE 15%
How worried are you about the direction of the nation’s economy in the next few years? Are you:
VERY WORRIED 24%
SOMEWHAT WORRIED 39% 63%
NOT TOO WORRIED 26%
NOT WORRIED 11% 37%
NOT SURE 0%
How worried are you that there will be another major terrorist attack in the U.S.? Are you:
VERY WORRIED 22%
SOMEWHAT WORRIED 48% 70%
NOT TOO WORRIED 22%
NOT WORRIED 8% 30%
NOT SURE 0%
Should illegal immigrants working in the United States be:
CHANCE TO STAY 53%
DEPORTED 36%
NOT SURE 10%
In general, which is better for the country?
SAME PARTY 36%
DIVIDED 42%
NOT SURE 23%
PARTY
Demographics:
What is your current official party voter registration? Are you registered to vote as a:
DEMOCRAT 31%
REPUBLICAN 34%
INDEPENDENT 35%
Would you describe your personal political views as very liberal, somewhat liberal, moderate, somewhat conservative or very conservative?
VERY LIBERAL 6%
SOMEWHAT LIBERAL 19%
MODERATE 37%
SOMEWHAT CONSERVATIVE 22%
VERY CONSERVATIVE 14%
DK/REF 1%
What is your age?
18-34 15%
35-49 31%
50-64 33%
65+ 22%
REF 1%
Which of the following best describes your race or ethnicity?
WHITE 81%
BLACK 14%
HISPANIC 3%
OTHER 1%
REFUSED 1%
SEX:
MALE 47%
FEMALE 53%
REGION:
NORTHERN VA 26%
SHENADOAH/PIEDMONT 14%
RICHMOND METRO 14%
HAMPTON ROADS 21%
LYNCHBRG/SOUTHSIDE 12%
ROANOKE/SOMEWHAT VA 12%