ABOUT LAST NIGHT: Cruz wins, Clinton (barely) holds on
The Des Moines Register front page: "CRUZ PREVAILS: DEMS IN DEAD HEAT"
NBCNews.com headline: "Cruz Humbles Trump in Iowa; Clinton Ekes Out Victory."
And our full results page is here.
Here's all the latest on turnout -- what it meant and what it didn't mean -- from the Des Moines Register.
The AP's lede: "A victorious Ted Cruz and buoyant Marco Rubio emerged from Iowa with compelling claims to the outsider and mainstream mantles in the fractured Republican primary, as the presidential race shifted overnight to New Hampshire. Democrats were girding for a protracted slugfest between Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton, locked in a virtual tie."
The Wall Street Journal: "It’s early—ridiculously early, actually—to draw too many conclusions. But the results suggested that a fight still lies ahead on the Democratic side, and a potentially much bigger and longer battle is ahead on the Republican one. Perhaps most important, the Iowa results suggest that those fights will take place in two parties deeply divided between insiders and outsiders, between young and old, and between the most and least wealthy. The situation is volatile, and, as a consequence, unpredictable." Perry Bacon Jr. writes that the results show the establishment isn't dead yet.
The New Hampshire Union Leader hed this morning: "Voters Ready to Have Their Say" MORE: "Experts: Vote in NH Should Top 500,000"
The Democrats
Last night's late-night/early morning statement from the Iowa Democratic Party. "The results tonight are the closest in Iowa Democratic caucus history. Hillary Clinton has been awarded 699.57 state delegate equivalents, Bernie Sanders has been awarded 695.49 state delegate equivalents, Martin O’Malley has been awarded 7.68 state delegate equivalents and uncommitted has been awarded .46 state delegate equivalents. We still have outstanding results in one precinct (Des Moines—42), which is worth 2.28 state delegate equivalents. We will report that final precinct when we have confirmed those results with the chair."
From Alex Seitz-Wald: "[F]or Clinton this time to barely edge out Sanders, who was dismissed as a gadfly just months ago, showed continued weaknesses for the former secretary of state among significant portions of the Democratic coalition — particularly younger voters and those seeking a more progressive vision. And it demonstrated the limits of a state-of-the-art political operation to make up for lingering doubts with the candidate herself, who on paper seemed build a campaign that did everything right this time around in Iowa."
The Washington Post: "Clinton was determined not to repeat the mistakes of 2008, when her seeming inevitability melted in Iowa like a snowman in April. This time, she accepted the state and its quirky caucus system on their own terms, building a formidable army of operatives and volunteers. Staffers at the Brooklyn headquarters were instructed to cater to the needs of state-level organizers. The meticulous work proved crucial as Clinton’s wide lead began to evaporate over the summer."
Clinton won at least six precincts by coin flip.
Out of the race: Martin O'Malley.
The Republicans
From NBC's Leigh Ann Caldwell: "A total of thirty delegates are awarded in Iowa's Republican race, a fraction of the amount necessary to clinch the nomination. NBC News is allocating Cruz eight, Rubio and Trump seven, former pediatric neurosurgeon Ben Carson three, Kentucky Sen. Rand Paul and former Florida Governor Jeb Bush one delegate each."
The Washington Post: "[I]n a state that has long rewarded conservatives who put religion at the fore, and in a political era dictated by data analytics, Cruz won on the strength of both. His message was perfectly tuned to Iowa conservatives, he used his web of relationships to try to unite evangelical leaders, and he invested deeply in data and turnout organization. By caucus day, Cruz had 11,986 volunteers in Iowa and trained captains at nearly all of the 1,681 precincts."
The Des Moines Register: "Trump spent just 37 days in Iowa. Among the Republican field, that puts him ahead of only former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush, Ohio Gov. John Kasich and former Virginia Gov. Jim Gilmore for time spent campaigning here."
Ben Carson's team is accusing Cruz of foul play, saying the senator's volunteers told caucus-goers Carson was dropping out of the race.
What was behind Rubio's good night? Here's a look at the entrance polls.
Alex Jaffe reports Rubio will snag Tim Scott's endorsement today.
Out of the race: Mike Huckabee. Sticking around: Rand Paul.
PROGRAMMING NOTES.
*** Tuesday’s “Andrea Mitchell Reports” line-up: Andrea Mitchell hosts the show live from a Hillary Clinton campaign event in Nashua, NH. NBC’s Kristen Welker and Katy Tur join from on the campaign trail in New Hampshire. Sanders campaign advisor Tad Devine and Clinton surrogate New Hampshire Jeanne Shaheen will also join the conversation. Republican strategist Doug Heye also joins to break down last night’s Republican results.