A little more than a week after the polls closed, NBC News’ Decision Desk can now project that Republicans will take control of the House and its current House estimate is that the GOP will have a 221-214 majority, plus-or-minus two seats.
It comes as there’s now just seven uncalled House races — the Decision Desk called California's 27th District for Republicans, and Maine's 2nd District and California's 49th District for Democrats on Wednesday.
Here’s a look at those final races that will decide how slim the GOP majority will be (guided, as always, by race ratings from The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter):
Toss ups:
- CA-13: An open seat race with Republican John Duarte vs. Democrat Adam Gray.
- CA-22: GOP Rep. David Valadao vs. Democrat Rudy Salas.
- CA-47: Democratic Rep. Katie Porter vs. Republican Scott Baugh.
Other competitive races:
- AK-AL: Democratic Rep. Mary Peltola vs. Republicans Sarah Palin and Nick Begich and Libertarian Chris Bye.
- CA-3: An open seat with Republican Kevin Kiley vs. Democrat Kermit Jones.
A surprisingly close race:
- CO-3: GOP Rep. Lauren Boebert vs. Democrat Adam Frisch.
Safe seat:
- CA-34: The Decision Desk hasn’t yet projected this seat President Biden won by 64 as ballots continue to be counted. But this race features two Democrats, Rep. Jimmy Gomez and David Kim, thanks to the state’s Top 2 primary system, so it will remain in Democratic hands.
